"Michael" 5th Weekend Box Office
Culture|$13.6k Vol|
time1 days 5 hrs

"Michael" 5th Weekend Box Office - AI Found +88.7¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 05.23 03:56
Top Undervalued
+88.7¢
>19m(No)
+24.8¢
16-17m(Yes)
+24.8¢
<16m(Yes)

"Michael" 5th Weekend Box Office AI analysis: • +88.7¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
The sum of the Yes prices is currently around 127.9%, indicating significant overall overpricing. 'M...
🔓 Log in to see more

Real-time High Yield Opportunities

View More
Highest temperature in NYC on May 24?
Weather|$39.0k Vol|
time5 hrs 20 mins

Highest temperature in NYC on May 24?

Top Undervalued
+33.6¢
62°F or higher(Yes)
+21.5¢
56-57°F(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The latest weather forecasts indicate that the high temperature at New York's LaGuardia Airport on M...
🔓 Log in to see more
AI Analysis
What are the exact win/loss conditions for this NYC temperature market on May 24, and how is the Wunderground data used?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 24?
Weather|$15.8k Vol|
time5 hrs 20 mins

Highest temperature in Seattle on May 24?

Top Undervalued
+7.5¢
68-69°F(No)
+4¢
70-71°F(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The latest weather forecasts suggest that the high temperature at Seattle-Tacoma International Airpo...
🔓 Log in to see more
Movers
May 22, 2026 - May 23, 2026: The price of the 70-71°F option surged from 16c to 37c. The reason is that as May 24 approaches, weather forecast data became more definite, indicating the high temperature will fall into this range. May 22, 2026 - May 23, 2026: The price of the 74°F or higher option dropped from 19c to 8.5c because the probability of extreme heat decreased as the date drew nearer.
AI Analysis
How exactly does Wunderground finalize the daily high temperature data for the Seattle-Tacoma Airport (KSEA) station, and are there any known risks of delays or revisions before the data is finalized?
What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Culture|$12.3k Vol|
time1 days 17 hrs

What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Top Undervalued
+64.1¢
Swapped(No)
+20.6¢
The Crash(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The sum of Yes prices in the current market is around 143%, which shows a normalization from previou...
🔓 Log in to see more
Movers
May 19, 2026 - May 21, 2026: Multiple options experienced steep price crashes, such as 'GOAT' plunging from 37.5c to 3.5c, and 'Apex' and 'Black Phone 2' collapsing from ~26c to ~4c. The reason is that the market was initially severely mispriced and overvalued (sum of Yes was >300%). As early viewership data became clearer, liquidity dumped the options with no realistic chance for the #2 spot. Meanwhile, 'Swapped' rebounded from an intra-period low of 13c to surge to 47c, consolidating its position as the frontrunner.
AI Analysis
Explain the resolution criteria for this event: What specifically qualifies as the '#2 global Netflix movie (English only)'? What happens if Netflix fails to update their list on May 26?
"Passenger" Opening 4-Day Weekend Box Office
Culture|$22.7k Vol|
time2 days 5 hrs

"Passenger" Opening 4-Day Weekend Box Office

Top Undervalued
+53¢
9.5-11m(No)
+18¢
8-9.5m(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest box office tracking, the thriller 'Passenger' is projected to earn between $...
🔓 Log in to see more
Movers
On May 22, 2026, the market experienced drastic corrections due to the release of updated 4-day weekend box office projections (generally in the $9M-$11M range). The price of the <8m option plummeted from 34c to 7c; the 8-9.5m option crashed from 35.5c to 14c before recovering; and the 11-12.5m option surged from 14.5c to 26c. These fluctuations reflect the market upgrading its box office expectations on opening day.
AI Analysis
What are the exact resolution criteria, data sources, and contingency plans if final data is missing for the "Passenger" 4-day opening weekend box office market (ELI5)?
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
>19m
YesNo
98.7¢
1.3¢
10¢
90¢
0¢
+88.7¢
16-17m
YesNo
0.15¢
99.85¢
25¢
75¢
+24.8¢
0¢

Expand to view all 5 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
From 2026-05-21 15:03:15 to 2026-05-22 19:18:14, the price of the <16m option fell from 27c to 11.9c, the 16-17m option fluctuated from 27c to 23c, the 17-18m option rose from 24.5c to 38.5c before falling back to 29.5c, the 18-19m option dropped from 25.5c to 10c before recovering to 23.5c, and the >19m option surged from 25c to 55c before settling at 50c. This widespread and severe volatility reflects the market adjusting positions based on incomplete data or box office previews ahead of the weekend results, lacking a clear consensus expectation.

Support

Frequently Asked Questions

1. What is PolyPredict AI and how can I access it?
2. How does the AI determine the "Fair Value"?
3. What makes the "Arbitrage Plans" unique?
4. What is the difference between Event and Live Markets?
5. What are the key differences between the Free and Pro versions?
6. Can I use PolyPredict AI on Telegram?

The All-in-One AI Copilot for Prediction Markets

The All-in-One AI Copilot for Prediction Markets

PolyPredict AIPolyPredict AI
TwitterTelegramEmail
English

Market data provided by PolyMarket.

© 2026 SynthMind AI Limited.