#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?
Culture|$10.7k Vol|
time10 hrs 45 mins

#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 21? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 9 hours ago
Top Undervalued
+1¢
Shadowrocket(No)
+0.1¢
TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome(No)

#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 21? AI analysis: • +1¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
With only about 20 hours left until resolution, Shadowrocket continues to steadily hold the #1 spot ...
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Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 21?
Weather|$37.0k Vol|
time22 hrs 45 mins

Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 21?

Top Undervalued
+6.5¢
15°C(No)
+4¢
18°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest mainstream weather platforms, specifically the resolution source Wundergroun...
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Movers
April 19, 2026 - April 20, 2026, the price of '16°C' steadily climbed from 26c to 43.5c, while '18°C' plummeted from a high of 32c to 11.5c, and '15°C' retreated from 25c to 12.5c. This occurred because, as the resolution date approached, weather forecasting models converged, confirming that the high temperature at Shanghai Pudong Airport would likely land in the 16°C-17°C range, prompting the market to dump outlier options and consolidate around 16°C.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 21?
Weather|$21.7k Vol|
time22 hrs 45 mins

Highest temperature in Toronto on April 21?

Top Undervalued
+7.5¢
11°C(No)
+3¢
9°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As the target date (April 21) approaches within 1 day, weather forecasting models have reached high ...
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Movers
April 19, 2026 - April 20, 2026, the price of the 12°C option surged from 11c to roughly 27c, and the 11°C option jumped from 13c to 25c, while the 8°C option plummeted from 23.5c down to around 3c. This was caused by a major update in short-term weather forecasting models, projecting a warm front for Toronto on April 21 and significantly raising the expected high temperature.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Milan on April 21?
Weather|$16.5k Vol|
time22 hrs 45 mins

Highest temperature in Milan on April 21?

Top Undervalued
+9.5¢
19°C(No)
+4.5¢
20°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecasts from multiple sources (e.g., Google Weather, AccuWeather, Met ...
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Exotics
Predicting the highest temperature of a specific city on a single day is a typical novelty/fringe market topic. Aside from local residents and weather data traders, the general public does not think about such granular questions.
Movers
April 19, 2026 - April 20, 2026, the Yes price for 21°C surged from 11.5c to 33.5c, and the Yes price for 19°C rose from 16c to 35c before settling back to 27c. This was likely driven by short-term weather forecasting models updating their expected peak temperatures as the resolution date approaches.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
Shadowrocket
YesNo
95¢
94¢
+1¢
TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome
YesNo
0.15¢
99.85¢
100¢
+0.1¢

Expand to view all 8 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
This is a highly niche and marginal prediction market. Ordinary audiences rarely pay attention to the exact ranking of a paid app on a specific date, making it a relatively exotic and obscure topic.
Movers
From April 17, 2026 to April 19, 2026, the price of Shadowrocket climbed from 62.5c to 93.5c, as the certainty of it maintaining the top spot increased heavily approaching the resolution date. From April 17, 2026 to April 19, 2026, the price of HotSchedules dropped from 28.5c to 6.5c, as the remaining time dwindled and its chances of overtaking the leader faded. From April 17, 2026 to April 19, 2026, several low-probability options including DualShot Recorder, Procreate Pocket, and AnkiMobile Flashcards saw their prices plummet from over 25c to below 1c, as the likelihood of these apps reaching the top was essentially ruled out with the passage of time, causing prices to return to rational levels.

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