All
Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson
YesNo
BAILE INoLVIDABLE - Bad Bunny
YesNo
The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift
YesNo
American Girls - Harry Styles
YesNo
Risk It All - Bruno Mars
YesNo
So Easy (To Fall In Love) - Olivia Dean
YesNo
End of Beginning - Djo
YesNo
Man I Need - Olivia Dean
YesNo
DtMF - Bad Bunny
YesNo
back to friends - sombr
YesNo
AI Insights:
12 hours ago UpdatedFair Value Reasoning:
The market has experienced a dramatic V-shaped reversal. 'Stateside' rebounded swiftly from its Tuesday low (41c) to nearly 80c, indicating that the threat from an 'unlisted song (Other)'—which triggered early-week panic—has dissipated, or that 'Stateside' has re-established an insurmountable cumulative streaming lead mid-week. As the tracking week nears its end (Thursday cutoff), all other listed competitors (Harry Styles, Bruno Mars, etc.) have collapsed to under 5c, confirming they are out of contention. The current market pricing still leaves about 10-15% probability for the 'Field/Other', but given the strong momentum of 'Stateside', its fair value is likely higher than the current market price.
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Exotics
For pop culture followers, this is a standard topic; however, for general prediction market participants, predicting specific chart-topping songs is a niche entertainment vertical requiring specific streaming data tracking capabilities.
Movers
March 17, 2026 - March 18, 2026, the price of 'Stateside + Zara Larsson' surged from 41.5c to 79.5c. Reason: The market recovered from early-week panic, realizing that despite challenges, the song likely retained its cumulative weekly lead, or the data for the unlisted challenger (Other) faded.
March 16, 2026 - March 17, 2026, the price of 'Stateside + Zara Larsson' crashed from 69c to 44c. Reason: Daily chart data for Mon/Tue likely showed the song temporarily losing the #1 spot, sparking fears that an unlisted 'dark horse' track would win the weekly aggregate.
March 15, 2026 - March 18, 2026, the price of 'Risk It All - Bruno Mars' continued to drop from 19.5c to 2c. Reason: As mid-week data emerged, the song failed to show the growth curve needed to challenge for the top spot, leading the market to completely capitulate on its chances.
