All
Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
Blades Brown
YesNo
Peter Malnati
YesNo
Zach Bauchou
YesNo
Akshay Bhatia
YesNo
Matt McCarty
YesNo
Taylor Moore
YesNo
Matt Fitzpatrick
YesNo
Adam Hadwin
YesNo
Corey Conners
YesNo
Thorbjorn Olesen
YesNo
Xander Schauffele
YesNo
Viktor Hovland
YesNo
Brooks Koepka
YesNo
Keith Mitchell
YesNo
Robert MacIntyre
YesNo
Gordon Sargent
YesNo
Takumi Kanaya
YesNo
Eric Cole
YesNo
Ben Griffin
YesNo
Max McGreevy
YesNo
Patrick Cantlay
YesNo
Chandler Phillips
YesNo
Steven Fisk
YesNo
Andrew Novak
YesNo
Chandler Blanchet
YesNo
Pierceson Coody
YesNo
Max Homa
YesNo
Keegan Bradley
YesNo
Tony Finau
YesNo
Cam Davis
YesNo
Marco Penge
YesNo
Matthieu Pavon
YesNo
Davis Riley
YesNo
Bud Cauley
YesNo
Patrick Fishburn
YesNo
Johnny Keefer
YesNo
Beau Hossler
YesNo
Emiliano Grillo
YesNo
Adrien Saddier
YesNo
Matthias Schmid
YesNo
Kevin Roy
YesNo
Doug Ghim
YesNo
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
YesNo
Lee Hodges
YesNo
Mac Meissner
YesNo
A.J. Ewart
YesNo
Michael Brennan
YesNo
Ricky Castillo
YesNo
Patrick Rodgers
YesNo
William Mouw
YesNo
Taylor Pendrith
YesNo
Greg Koch
YesNo
Marcelo Rozo
YesNo
Mark Hubbard
YesNo
Patton Kizzire
YesNo
Paul Peterson
YesNo
Chad Ramey
YesNo
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
YesNo
Joe Highsmith
YesNo
Rafael Campos
YesNo
Nicolai Hojgaard
YesNo
Ryo Hisatsune
YesNo
Austin Eckroat
YesNo
Billy Horschel
YesNo
Michael Kim
YesNo
Davis Chatfield
YesNo
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
YesNo
Wyndham Clark
YesNo
Ze-Cheng Dou
YesNo
Kristoffer Reitan
YesNo
Zac Blair
YesNo
Matt Kuchar
YesNo
Rico Hoey
YesNo
Rasmus Hojgaard
YesNo
Adam Schenk
YesNo
David Ford
YesNo
Kensei Hirata
YesNo
Jeremy Paul
YesNo
Jacob Bridgeman
YesNo
Charley Hoffman
YesNo
Lucas Glover
YesNo
Seong-Hyeon Kim
YesNo
David Lipsky
YesNo
Tom Kim
YesNo
Luke Clanton
YesNo
Max Greyserman
YesNo
Nick Dunlap
YesNo
Isaiah Salinda
YesNo
Aaron Rai
YesNo
Jeffrey Kang
YesNo
John Parry
YesNo
Sung-Jae Im
YesNo
Mackenzie Hughes
YesNo
Stephan Jaeger
YesNo
Pontus Nyholm
YesNo
Brian Campbell
YesNo
Garrick Higgo
YesNo
Brice Garnett
YesNo
Henry Lebioda
YesNo
Daniel Brown
YesNo
AI Insights:
03.17 21:21 UpdatedFair Value Reasoning:
The market is suffering from extreme pricing inefficiency due to illiquidity. Most field players (e.g., Zach Bauchou, Blades Brown) are stuck at the default 50-cent anchor, implying a 50% probability of a Top 20 finish, which is statistically absurd (average players usually have a 10-20% true probability). Conversely, elite players like Xander Schauffele and Viktor Hovland are also hovering around 50c, representing undervalued opportunities. Robert MacIntyre and Keith Mitchell have crashed to ~2c, confirming previous injury/withdrawal rumors; their fair value is near zero.
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Movers
March 16, 2026 - March 17, 2026, prices for Robert MacIntyre and Keith Mitchell crashed further from ~23.5c to ~2c. The reason is the market pricing in a near-certain withdrawal or inability to compete following the 'Undisclosed' status reports, leading to a final price correction.
March 14, 2026 - March 16, 2026, Robert MacIntyre dropped from 50c to 23.5c, and Keith Mitchell dropped from 50c to 22.5c, triggered by initial reports from sources like RotoWire listing them with 'Undisclosed' status, prompting a sell-off by informed traders.
Divergence
Significant divergence exists. Mainstream sports analytics models (e.g., DataGolf, Sagarin) typically assign non-elite field players a Top 20 probability of less than 25%. However, due to illiquidity, the prediction market prices dozens of average players at 50%, creating a massive discrepancy in implied probability.
