Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Crypto|$385.0k Vol|
time608 days 3 hrs

Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch? - AI Found 1.5% APY

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.27 06:55
Top Undervalued
+11¢
$200M(No)
Arbitrage Opportunity
2¢
Arbitrage
1.5%
Annualized yield

Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch? AI analysis: • +11¢ undervalued • 1.5% arbitrage APY • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Arbitrage Plan:
Simultaneously buy 1 share of $2.5B 'Yes' and 1 share of $3B 'No'. Plan Description: The current Yes price for $2.5B is 2.75¢ and the No price for $3B is 94.85¢, making the combined cos...
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Undervalued Options Insights:
Current market prices still exhibit logical cumulative probability inversions, such as the $2.5B Yes...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 3?
Weather|$21.7k Vol|
time10 hrs 32 mins

Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 3?

Top Undervalued
+24.3¢
23°C(No)
+19.6¢
26°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature in Chengdu (Shuangliu International ...
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Exotics
This is a prediction market targeting the specific high temperature of a single day in Chengdu. Aside from local residents or specialized weather derivative traders, the general public rarely thinks about or predicts this specific data point, giving it a moderate level of novelty and exoticism.
Divergence
Current market prices imply a high temperature of 25°C to 26°C, but most weather forecast platforms (such as Google and AccuWeather data) predict a high between 23°C and 24°C. Market participants may be pricing in urban heat island effects or an upward trend in temperatures before forecast updates.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 3?
Weather|$27.5k Vol|
time10 hrs 32 mins

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 3?

Top Undervalued
+10.5¢
30°C(No)
+7.5¢
28°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecast data, there will be light rain in Shenzhen (near Bao'an Int...
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Exotics
While predicting the daily high temperature for a specific city is somewhat niche, weather data prediction is a recurring category on prediction markets. It's not extremely bizarre, though rarely a focus for the general public.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 3?
Weather|$20.7k Vol|
time10 hrs 32 mins

Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 3?

Top Undervalued
+23.5¢
25°C(No)
+20.5¢
23°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to major weather forecasts (e.g., Google Weather, AccuWeather), the highest temperature at...
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AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 3?
Weather|$30.5k Vol|
time10 hrs 32 mins

Highest temperature in Beijing on May 3?

Top Undervalued
+20.5¢
21°C(No)
+15.3¢
24°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Recent weather forecasts indicate that the highest temperature at Beijing Capital International Airp...
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AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
$200M
YesNo
76¢
24¢
65¢
35¢
+11¢
$600M
YesNo
24.5¢
75.5¢
30¢
70¢
+5.5¢

Expand to view all 9 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
Apr 23, 2026 - Apr 26, 2026, the 'Yes' price of the $600M option surged from 19.5c to 30c, driven by optimistic market expectations regarding its recent developments, increasing the perceived probability of reaching the mid-to-high valuation range. Mar 24, 2026 - Mar 30, 2026, the 'Yes' price of the $200M option steadily dropped from 64.5c to 44.5c, a 20c decline. This was caused by the lack of tangible TGE progress, shaking investor confidence regarding whether the project will launch a token before the end of 2027, increasing risk-aversion toward the baseline valuation. Mar 21, 2026 - Mar 24, 2026, prices across all options remained relatively stable with no fluctuations exceeding 5c, indicating the market has entered a wait-and-see period following the initial AI pivot hype, pending confirmation of a concrete TGE timeline. Mar 10, 2026 - Mar 12, 2026, the $400M option price plummeted from 41.5c to 27c, driven by profit-taking on the 'AI strategic pivot' announced in late Feb, combined with the realization of continued uncertainty regarding the actual launch timeline, causing speculative enthusiasm for mid-range valuations to fade rapidly. Mar 06, 2026 - Mar 07, 2026, the $600M option price surged from 26c to 36.5c, driven by the market's continued digestion of the 'AI Agent' strategic pivot, leading capital to re-rate Abstract's potential valuation as an 'AI-narrative chain.'

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