April 22, 2026 - April 24, 2026, the '45%+' option price plummeted from 36.5c to 14.5c before rebounding to 27c, while the '55%+' option anomalously spiked from 4.55c to 15.25c. This was driven by the circulation of highly conflicting internal test data or misinterpretations of specific high-difficulty subset scores, which fueled extreme structural speculation before prices corrected as sentiment stabilized. April 16, 2026 - April 19, 2026, the '45%+' option price plummeted from 70c to 39.5c. The decline was driven by the rapid cooling of previous rumor-fueled high expectations, as the market likely received more realistic internal test data or signals of a delayed model release, leading to a massive withdrawal of speculative capital. April 6, 2026 - April 9, 2026, the '45%+' option price surged from 41.5c to 78.5c. This was likely driven by strong leaked signals or insider rumors regarding the exceptional internal testing performance of Anthropic's next-generation flagship model on Humanity's Last Exam (HLE), leading to a massive upward repricing of expectations. April 1, 2026 - April 4, 2026, the '45%+' option price surged from 44.5c to 64.5c and then crashed back to 39.5c. This extreme volatility was driven by strong speculative sentiment at the start of Q2 regarding an imminent major update from Anthropic (e.g., early Claude 4 previews), but as official confirmation failed to materialize, hype-driven capital quickly exited, returning the price to its baseline. March 27, 2026 - March 29, 2026, the '45%+' option price spiked from 38.5c to 49c before quickly retracing to 39.5c. This was driven by short-lived speculative rumors regarding internal testing of a new Anthropic model; without official confirmation, the hype quickly cooled and the price returned to its baseline. March 22, 2026 - March 23, 2026, the '45%+' option price recovered mildly from 35.5c to 39c. This rebound represents a technical correction after excessive pessimism, fueled by Google Gemini's high scores which encouraged investors to bet on an Anthropic response in Q2. March 14, 2026 - March 16, 2026, the '45%+' option price dropped quickly from 40.5c to 34.5c. The decline was driven by the market's disappointment as mid-March passed without the rumored 'Claude 5' release, eroding confidence in a short-term performance leap.