AI Signal Dashboard
Last updated: 1 hours ago
Top Undervalued
+42.6¢
Kevin Montero(No)
Arbitrage Opportunity
322¢
Arbitrage
31.4%
Annualized yield
Bachelorette Season 22 Winner AI analysis: • +42.6¢ undervalued • 31.4% arbitrage APY • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.
Arbitrage Plan:
Buy No shares for all 22 options. Since there will only be one winner (or none, resulting in all resolving to No), at least 21 options will resolve to No. The current sum of No prices for all options is ~1777.7c, while the payout is guaranteed to be at least 2100c (21 * 100c).
Plan Description:
The total cost for No shares is 1777.7c, with a guaranteed minimum payout of 2100c. This is a perfec...
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Undervalued Options Insights:
The market is still experiencing a severe pricing glitch or malicious manipulation (Yes sum > 400%),...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities
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All
Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
Kevin Montero
YesNo
43.6¢
56.4¢
1¢
99¢
0¢
+42.6¢
Marcus Richardson
YesNo
41.7¢
58.3¢
1¢
99¢
0¢
+40.7¢
Expand to view all 22 options
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
May 1, 2026 - May 2, 2026, Casey Hux's price fell from 47.45c to 35.35c, Malik Evans dropped from 45.45c to 34.25c, and several other top contenders saw 5-10c drops, as the market continued to correct the previous massive overpricing anomaly.
April 30, 2026 - May 1, 2026, Lew Evans's price crashed from 47.1c to 26.4c, Marcus Richardson dropped from 45.15c to 36.2c, and Johnnie LaRossa fell from 48.65c to 40.15c, as some investors started to realize the extreme pricing glitch or manipulation and sold off overinflated positions.
April 28, 2026 - April 30, 2026, the prices for the top 10 candidates remained highly elevated at 42c-49c, continuing the previous anomalous surge and indicating the manipulation or glitch remained unresolved.
April 28, 2026 - April 29, 2026, the prices for the top 10 candidates collectively skyrocketed from under 2c (Matt Carroll from 26.8c) to 46c-49c. The reason is a severe trading glitch or malicious market manipulation, causing the total probability of mutually exclusive outcomes to breach 500%.
April 26, 2026 - April 27, 2026, Matt Carroll's price skyrocketed from 0.85c to 27.95c, likely due to a new major spoiler resurfacing his name as a primary contender.
April 21, 2026 - April 22, 2026, Richard Van De Water's price crashed from 16.4c to 1.95c, likely due to new spoilers ruling out his chances.
April 20, 2026 - April 21, 2026, Clayton Johnson's price crashed from 25.1c to 7.0c, likely because new spoilers debunked recent theories of his victory.
April 19, 2026 - April 20, 2026, Clayton Johnson's price skyrocketed from 1.75c to 25.1c, and Richard Van De Water's price surged from 1.65c to 16.15c, due to new reversing evidence in the spoiler community.
April 18, 2026 - April 19, 2026, Matt Carroll's price crashed from 33.45c to 0.85c, due to definitive spoilers revealing he did not win, causing a complete market collapse.
Divergence
The sum of probabilities for mutually exclusive events must not exceed 100%. Currently, the implied sum of Yes probabilities across all candidates exceeds 420%, creating an extreme divergence from basic mathematical logic and real-world outcomes. This reflects a breakdown in market mechanics rather than an opinion-based divergence.
