All
Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
Doug Mason
YesNo
Shane Parton
YesNo
Conrad Ukropina
YesNo
Matt Carroll
YesNo
Aaron Kahng
YesNo
Brandon Perce
YesNo
Clayton Johnson
YesNo
Michael Baba
YesNo
Marcus Richardson
YesNo
Josh Harward
YesNo
Brad Ledford
YesNo
Johnnie LaRossa
YesNo
Lew Evans
YesNo
Christopher Wood
YesNo
Malik Evans
YesNo
Mike Turitto
YesNo
Richard Van De Water
YesNo
Trenten Merrill
YesNo
Ronn Perez
YesNo
Casey Hux
YesNo
Rod Strozier
YesNo
Kevin Montero
YesNo
AI Insights:
03.15 14:29 UpdatedFair Value Reasoning:
Credible spoilers (Reality Steve) confirm the Final 2 contestants for Taylor Frankie Paul's season are Shane Parton and Doug Mason. Recent evidence (mid-March 2026) places Doug Mason in Utah, the Bachelorette's home state, which is a massive signal that he is the winner and they are currently together. While Reality Steve hinted at a messy ending (potentially leaving single), the 'Utah sighting' heavily tilts the probability toward Doug. All other candidates (e.g., Clayton Johnson) have been eliminated, rendering their market prices irrational.
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Movers
From March 14, 2026, to March 15, 2026, Doug Mason's price surged from 57.5c to 75.5c, while Shane Parton's price crashed from 30.65c to 11.25c. The reason is new social media evidence placing Doug Mason in Utah (where the Bachelorette lives), which was widely interpreted as smoking gun proof of his victory and a secret visit, eliminating previous speculation favoring Shane Parton or a 'no winner' outcome.
