Bitcoin above ___ on April 28? - AI Found +20.2¢ Mispricing

Crypto|$22.0k Vol|

6 days 10 hrs

Bitcoin above ___ on April 28? - AI Found +20.2¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated:

Top Undervalued

+20.2¢

80,000(Yes)

+18.4¢

78,000(Yes)

+16.4¢

82,000(Yes)

Bitcoin above ___ on April 28? AI analysis: • +20.2¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Real-time High Yield Opportunities

Weather|$25.8k Vol|

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 22?

Top Undervalued

Undervalued Options Insights:

According to the latest weather forecasts (e.g., Google Weather), the highest temperature at Buenos ...

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While weather prediction markets are not entirely uncommon, predicting the exact daily high temperature at a specific station in Buenos Aires a few days in advance is a niche topic. It is generally only thought about by locals or specialized weather traders.

April 20, 2026 - April 21, 2026, the price of the 20°C option surged from 18.5c to 43c, while the 22°C option plummeted from 26.5c to 8c. Additionally, the 19°C option rose from 15.5c to 27.5c. This occurred because updated weather forecasts closer to the resolution date narrowed the expected maximum temperature to the 19°C-20°C range, largely ruling out 22°C and above.

How reliably does the Wunderground station at Minister Pistarini Intl Airport (SAEZ) finalize its daily data, and what are the potential dispute risks regarding the rule of measuring temperatures to 'whole degrees Celsius'?

Weather|$19.2k Vol|

Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 22?

Top Undervalued

Undervalued Options Insights:

Based on the latest prediction market prices, 28°C has the highest probability (around 40.5%), follo...

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April 20, 2026 09:28 - April 20, 2026 22:28, the price of 29°C plummeted from 32.5c to 8.5c, then recovered, due to adjustments in weather forecasts during this period which were later corrected. April 20, 2026 05:08 - April 20, 2026 06:13, the price of 27°C surged from 24c to 29.5c, reflecting morning forecasts leaning towards a lower high temperature. April 20, 2026 22:28 - April 21, 2026 03:53, the price of 28°C steadily increased from 36.5c to 41.5c, indicating strengthening market consensus for this temperature range.

Explain the resolution criteria for the Sao Paulo April 22 temperature market like I'm 5, especially how the Wunderground data for the Guarulhos Airport station is finalized.

Weather|$348.5k Vol|

Highest temperature in Seoul on April 22?

Top Undervalued

Undervalued Options Insights:

The latest mainstream weather forecasts indicate that the high temperature at Incheon International ...

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The title specifies 'Seoul', but the resolution rules explicitly dictate using data from the 'Incheon Intl Airport Station'. As Incheon is a coastal area, its temperatures often differ from those in inland Seoul. This geographic discrepancy between the title and the resolution source poses a significant risk to traders who do not read the fine print.

Between April 21, 2026, 02:48 and April 21, 17:58, the price of 15°C surged from 10.5c to 36.5c, while 17°C plunged from 27c to 11.5c. This was caused by updated short-term meteorological models nearing the settlement date, which generally revised and converged the day's peak temperature forecast downwards to around 15-16°C. From April 20 to April 21, 2026, the price of 16°C surged from 16c to a peak of 33.5c, and 17°C rose from 13c to 27c. Concurrently, the price of 15°C plunged from 23.5c to as low as 10.5c. These volatile movements were primarily driven by updates in short-term weather models as the resolution date approached, which had temporarily shifted the expected peak temperature range upward from 14-15°C to the 16-17°C bracket.

At what time is the highest temperature data for Incheon Intl Airport (RKSI) typically finalized and no longer updated on Wunderground?

Weather|$91.9k Vol|

Highest temperature in London on April 22?

Top Undervalued

Undervalued Options Insights:

With roughly ten hours left until the market resolves, the forecast for today's high at London City ...

🔓 Log in to see more

While weather prediction is a common subcategory in prediction markets, the general public rarely thinks about the exact highest temperature at a specific airport on a random day unless they have special travel plans or work in meteorology.

April 20, 2026 - April 22, 2026, the price of 16°C surged from 29.5c to 58.5c, while 14°C plummeted from 25.5c to 1.9c, and 13°C crashed from 19.5c to under 1c. This occurred because, as the resolution date approaches, weather forecasts for London City Airport have become highly deterministic, completely ruling out cooler temperatures and strictly narrowing the expected high to the 15-17°C band. April 20, 2026 - April 21, 2026, the price of 16°C surged from 29.5c to 50c, while 14°C plummeted from 25.5c to ~6c, and 13°C crashed from 19.5c to under 1c, due to finalizing weather models ruling out lower temps.

Verify the update status and reliability of the Wunderground London City Airport (EGLC) station data. Are there any known risks of delayed updates or outages for this source when recording whole-degree Celsius high temperatures?

Weather|$50.0k Vol|

Highest temperature in Paris on April 22?

Top Undervalued

21°C or higher(Yes)

Undervalued Options Insights:

As of April 21, 2026, with less than a day until resolution, market pricing heavily favors 19°C (Yes...

🔓 Log in to see more

While weather derivatives exist in professional markets, predicting the exact daily high temperature for a specific city is a relatively niche topic for the general public and standard prediction markets, giving it moderate novelty.

From April 20 to April 21, 2026, the price of the 19°C option surged from 30.5c to 42.5c as updated weather forecasts closer to the target date indicated 19°C as the most probable high temperature. From April 20 to April 21, 2026, the 17°C option plunged from 19.5c to 4.1c as forecasts ruled out the likelihood of lower temperatures. From April 20 to April 21, 2026, the 20°C option climbed from 8.5c to a peak of 23.5c before settling around 18c, reflecting short-term volatility in expectations for a higher temperature spike.

How exactly will the highest temperature in Paris on April 22 be resolved using Wunderground data? Please explain the resolution rules simply, especially how it handles decimal temperature recordings.

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

80,000

YesNo

32¢

68¢

52.2¢

47.8¢

+20.2¢

0¢

78,000

YesNo

51¢

49¢

69.4¢

30.6¢

+18.4¢

0¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

AI Insights & Reasoning:

Positive Factor 1: Quarterly MA60 Deviation Rate, 0.0870, Impact-Intense, Factor description Medium-term trend: deviation of price relative to the 60-day decision moving average Positive Factor 2: Monthly MA20 Deviation Rate, 0.0470, Impact-Intense, Factor description Medium-term strength indicator: deviation of price relative to the 20-day life line Positive Factor 3: Weekly Price Change, 0.0340, Impact-Strong, Factor description Weekly candlestick pattern: percentage change from weekly open to current price Positive Factor 4: Bollinger Midline Deviation Rate, 0.0470, Impact-Strong, Factor description Swing support: deviation of price relative to the Bollinger midline (MA20) Positive Factor 5: Attack Line MA5 Deviation Rate, 0.0090, Impact-Medium, Factor description Short-term breakout potential: deviation of price relative to the 5-day moving average Negative Factor 1: Volume-Price Divergence Signal, 1.0000, Impact-Strong, Factor description Potential trap signal: detect divergence where price rises but volume decreases

Real-time High Yield Opportunities

Weather|$25.8k Vol|

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 22?

Top Undervalued

Undervalued Options Insights:

According to the latest weather forecasts (e.g., Google Weather), the highest temperature at Buenos ...

🔓 Log in to see more

While weather prediction markets are not entirely uncommon, predicting the exact daily high temperature at a specific station in Buenos Aires a few days in advance is a niche topic. It is generally only thought about by locals or specialized weather traders.

April 20, 2026 - April 21, 2026, the price of the 20°C option surged from 18.5c to 43c, while the 22°C option plummeted from 26.5c to 8c. Additionally, the 19°C option rose from 15.5c to 27.5c. This occurred because updated weather forecasts closer to the resolution date narrowed the expected maximum temperature to the 19°C-20°C range, largely ruling out 22°C and above.

How reliably does the Wunderground station at Minister Pistarini Intl Airport (SAEZ) finalize its daily data, and what are the potential dispute risks regarding the rule of measuring temperatures to 'whole degrees Celsius'?

Weather|$19.2k Vol|

Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 22?

Top Undervalued

Undervalued Options Insights:

Based on the latest prediction market prices, 28°C has the highest probability (around 40.5%), follo...

🔓 Log in to see more

April 20, 2026 09:28 - April 20, 2026 22:28, the price of 29°C plummeted from 32.5c to 8.5c, then recovered, due to adjustments in weather forecasts during this period which were later corrected. April 20, 2026 05:08 - April 20, 2026 06:13, the price of 27°C surged from 24c to 29.5c, reflecting morning forecasts leaning towards a lower high temperature. April 20, 2026 22:28 - April 21, 2026 03:53, the price of 28°C steadily increased from 36.5c to 41.5c, indicating strengthening market consensus for this temperature range.

Explain the resolution criteria for the Sao Paulo April 22 temperature market like I'm 5, especially how the Wunderground data for the Guarulhos Airport station is finalized.

Weather|$348.5k Vol|

Highest temperature in Seoul on April 22?

Top Undervalued

Undervalued Options Insights:

The latest mainstream weather forecasts indicate that the high temperature at Incheon International ...

🔓 Log in to see more

The title specifies 'Seoul', but the resolution rules explicitly dictate using data from the 'Incheon Intl Airport Station'. As Incheon is a coastal area, its temperatures often differ from those in inland Seoul. This geographic discrepancy between the title and the resolution source poses a significant risk to traders who do not read the fine print.

Between April 21, 2026, 02:48 and April 21, 17:58, the price of 15°C surged from 10.5c to 36.5c, while 17°C plunged from 27c to 11.5c. This was caused by updated short-term meteorological models nearing the settlement date, which generally revised and converged the day's peak temperature forecast downwards to around 15-16°C. From April 20 to April 21, 2026, the price of 16°C surged from 16c to a peak of 33.5c, and 17°C rose from 13c to 27c. Concurrently, the price of 15°C plunged from 23.5c to as low as 10.5c. These volatile movements were primarily driven by updates in short-term weather models as the resolution date approached, which had temporarily shifted the expected peak temperature range upward from 14-15°C to the 16-17°C bracket.

At what time is the highest temperature data for Incheon Intl Airport (RKSI) typically finalized and no longer updated on Wunderground?

Weather|$91.9k Vol|

Highest temperature in London on April 22?

Top Undervalued

Undervalued Options Insights:

With roughly ten hours left until the market resolves, the forecast for today's high at London City ...

🔓 Log in to see more

While weather prediction is a common subcategory in prediction markets, the general public rarely thinks about the exact highest temperature at a specific airport on a random day unless they have special travel plans or work in meteorology.

April 20, 2026 - April 22, 2026, the price of 16°C surged from 29.5c to 58.5c, while 14°C plummeted from 25.5c to 1.9c, and 13°C crashed from 19.5c to under 1c. This occurred because, as the resolution date approaches, weather forecasts for London City Airport have become highly deterministic, completely ruling out cooler temperatures and strictly narrowing the expected high to the 15-17°C band. April 20, 2026 - April 21, 2026, the price of 16°C surged from 29.5c to 50c, while 14°C plummeted from 25.5c to ~6c, and 13°C crashed from 19.5c to under 1c, due to finalizing weather models ruling out lower temps.

Verify the update status and reliability of the Wunderground London City Airport (EGLC) station data. Are there any known risks of delayed updates or outages for this source when recording whole-degree Celsius high temperatures?

Weather|$50.0k Vol|

Highest temperature in Paris on April 22?

Top Undervalued

21°C or higher(Yes)

Undervalued Options Insights:

As of April 21, 2026, with less than a day until resolution, market pricing heavily favors 19°C (Yes...

🔓 Log in to see more

While weather derivatives exist in professional markets, predicting the exact daily high temperature for a specific city is a relatively niche topic for the general public and standard prediction markets, giving it moderate novelty.

From April 20 to April 21, 2026, the price of the 19°C option surged from 30.5c to 42.5c as updated weather forecasts closer to the target date indicated 19°C as the most probable high temperature. From April 20 to April 21, 2026, the 17°C option plunged from 19.5c to 4.1c as forecasts ruled out the likelihood of lower temperatures. From April 20 to April 21, 2026, the 20°C option climbed from 8.5c to a peak of 23.5c before settling around 18c, reflecting short-term volatility in expectations for a higher temperature spike.

How exactly will the highest temperature in Paris on April 22 be resolved using Wunderground data? Please explain the resolution rules simply, especially how it handles decimal temperature recordings.

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