Bitcoin above ___ on May 13?
Crypto|$10.1k Vol|
time6 days 5 hrs

Bitcoin above ___ on May 13? - AI Found +23.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated:
Top Undervalued
+23.5¢
82,000(Yes)
+21.8¢
84,000(Yes)
+18.6¢
80,000(Yes)

Bitcoin above ___ on May 13? AI analysis: • +23.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 7?
Weather|$22.9k Vol|
time1 hrs 55 mins

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 7?

Top Undervalued
+17¢
68-69°F(No)
+14¢
72°F or higher(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecasts and market trading data, the highest temperature at Los Angele...
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Movers
May 5, 2026 - May 6, 2026, the price of the '72°F or higher' option fluctuated violently between 25c and 44c, the '70-71°F' option rose from 22c to 34c, and the '64-65°F' option plummeted from 17c to less than 1c. This reflects continuous fine-tuning of meteorological forecast models regarding the specific degree of warming as the resolution date approaches, causing rapid capital shifts among adjacent high-probability temperature brackets.
AI Analysis
How long does it usually take for Wunderground to finalize the daily high temperature data for the KLAX station, and is there any risk of delayed resolution or data lag after May 7?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 7?
Weather|$19.0k Vol|
time1 hrs 55 mins

Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 7?

Top Undervalued
+3.5¢
29°C(No)
+3.5¢
28°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest meteorological data and market trends, the forecasted high for Sao Paulo (Guarul...
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Exotics
Predicting the specific daily high temperature for a single city is a relatively niche market that primarily attracts weather enthusiasts, though everyday meteorological forecasting is not extremely bizarre.
Movers
Between May 5, 2026, and May 6, 2026, the price of the 29°C option surged from 31.5c to a peak of 49c before stabilizing at 46.5c, while the 30°C option rose from 21.5c to 33.5c. This occurred because updated weather forecast models converging closer to the resolution date concentrated the probability of the maximum temperature in the 29-30°C range. Between May 2, 2026, and May 5, 2026, no significant price movements exceeding 10c were observed across any options. This indicates that the market had formed a relatively stable consensus on the short-term weather forecast for May 7, with minor expected volatility.
AI Analysis
Explain the Wunderground resolution criteria and win/loss conditions for the highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 7 using the simplest language.
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 7?
Weather|$54.4k Vol|
time1 hrs 55 mins

Highest temperature in Moscow on May 7?

Top Undervalued
+24.9¢
26°C(Yes)
+22.1¢
28°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The latest weather forecasts indicate that the high temperature in Moscow (Vnukovo Airport) on May 7...
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Exotics
Predicting the highest temperature of a specific city on a given day is a relatively standard daily topic in prediction markets. While somewhat niche, it is not overly bizarre or rare.
Movers
May 5, 2026 - May 6, 2026, the price of the 27°C option surged from 9.5c to 35.5c, and the 28°C option surged from 3.2c to 16.45c. Concurrently, the 25°C option plummeted from 35.5c to 3.55c, and the 24°C option crashed from 28c to below 1c. The reason is that the latest weather forecasts closer to the resolution date significantly upgraded Moscow's expected high temperatures from 24-25°C to 27-28°C.
AI Analysis
In simple terms, how is the winning temperature bracket for Moscow on May 7 determined, and how do we properly read the NOAA Celsius data for Vnukovo Airport?
April Inflation US - Monthly
Economy|$41.3k Vol|
time4 days 13 hrs

April Inflation US - Monthly

Top Undervalued
+3.5¢
0.5%(No)
+2.5¢
0.6%(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Current market pricing indicates that investors expect core and headline inflation for April 2026 to...
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Hedging
Gold
DXY
S&P 500
US 10Y Yield
The US CPI is a pivotal macroeconomic indicator determining Federal Reserve monetary policy and interest rate expectations. The monthly CPI release is a major tradable event in financial markets. Unexpected readings directly trigger significant repricing in US Treasury yields, the US Dollar Index (DXY), and risk assets like the S&P 500, giving this event strong macro correlation and hedging value.
AI Analysis
What is the exact scheduled release time for the April 2026 BLS Consumer Price Index report, and are there any potential risks of delay that could lock up funds?
April Inflation US - Annual
Economy|$279.5k Vol|
time4 days 13 hrs

April Inflation US - Annual

Top Undervalued
+1.5¢
3.6%(No)
+0.7¢
3.5%(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With only a few days remaining until the April CPI data release, market consensus continues to conve...
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Hedging
Gold
DXY
S&P 500
US 10Y Yield
US CPI data is a crucial driver for Federal Reserve monetary policy. A higher-than-expected inflation print typically pushes up US 10-year Treasury yields and the US Dollar (DXY) as markets price in tighter monetary policy, while simultaneously pressuring broad equities (S&P 500) and triggering volatility in Gold. This constitutes a highly tradable macro event.
AI Analysis
Explain the resolution rules for the April 2026 US CPI prediction market in ELI5 terms. What happens if the BLS delays the data release?
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
82,000
YesNo
42¢
64¢
65.5¢
34.5¢
+23.5¢
0¢
84,000
YesNo
21¢
83¢
42.8¢
57.2¢
+21.8¢
0¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
AI Insights & Reasoning:
Positive Factor 1: Last Week High Breakout Status, 1.0000, Impact-Intense, Factor description Structural breakout: whether the price breaks above last week highest price (0/1) Positive Factor 2: Quarterly MA60 Deviation Rate, 0.1160, Impact-Intense, Factor description Medium-term trend: deviation of price relative to the 60-day decision moving average Positive Factor 3: Monthly MA20 Deviation Rate, 0.0460, Impact-Intense, Factor description Medium-term strength indicator: deviation of price relative to the 20-day life line Positive Factor 4: Weekly Price Change, 0.0370, Impact-Strong, Factor description Weekly candlestick pattern: percentage change from weekly open to current price Positive Factor 5: Bollinger Midline Deviation Rate, 0.0460, Impact-Strong, Factor description Swing support: deviation of price relative to the Bollinger midline (MA20) Positive Factor 6: Attack Line MA5 Deviation Rate, 0.0120, Impact-Medium, Factor description Short-term breakout potential: deviation of price relative to the 5-day moving average

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