Bitcoin above ___ on May 14?
Crypto|$17.1k Vol|
time5 days 6 hrs

Bitcoin above ___ on May 14? - AI Found +28.4¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated:
Top Undervalued
+28.4¢
82,000(Yes)
+23.6¢
80,000(Yes)
+21.8¢
84,000(Yes)

Bitcoin above ___ on May 14? AI analysis: • +28.4¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

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Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 9?
Weather|$63.5k Vol|
time2 hrs 44 mins

Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 9?

Top Undervalued
+63.7¢
24°C(No)
+24¢
25°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The latest weather forecasts suggest that the high temperature for Chongqing Jiangbei International ...
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Movers
May 7, 2026 - May 8, 2026, the price of the 26°C option surged from 2.6c to 22.45c, driven by short-term forecast models slightly raising the potential high-temperature ceiling as the resolution date approached. May 7, 2026 - May 8, 2026, the price of the 25°C option surged from 13c to 31.5c, also influenced by short-term weather forecast fluctuations leaning towards warmer outcomes. May 7, 2026 - May 8, 2026, the price of the 24°C option rose from 21.5c to 34c, as meteorological consensus increasingly locked into the 24°C range as the target date drew near.
AI Analysis
Explain the resolution criteria and win/loss conditions for the May 9 Chongqing temperature market in simple terms, specifically how it relies on whole-degree data from the Wunderground Jiangbei Airport (ZUCK) station.
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 9?
Weather|$27.4k Vol|
time2 hrs 44 mins

Highest temperature in Seattle on May 9?

Top Undervalued
+3.5¢
66°F or higher(Yes)
+1.5¢
64-65°F(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts from the National Weather Service (NWS) and AccuWeather, t...
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AI Analysis
What are the exact resolution rules for this temperature market, and how does the rounding of Wunderground's SeaTac temperature data determine the winning bracket?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 10?
Weather|$17.7k Vol|
time1 days 2 hrs

Highest temperature in Houston on May 10?

Top Undervalued
+14.5¢
86°F or higher(Yes)
+13.5¢
84-85°F(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts for William P. Hobby Airport in Houston on May 10, 2026, t...
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Movers
On May 8, 2026, the price of '86°F or higher' surged from 57.5c to 80c, while '80-81°F' and '84-85°F' experienced significant drops. This was driven by the latest near-term weather forecasts explicitly predicting a high of around 88°F on May 10, eliminating market expectations for lower temperatures.
AI Analysis
Explain the resolution rules for this Houston temperature market like I'm 5, specifically how and when the Wunderground data for the Hobby Airport Station is finalized.
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?
Oil|$20.4k Vol|
time21 days 14 hrs

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

Top Undervalued
+18¢
0-10(Yes)
+13.6¢
60+(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and blockades in the Middle East, ship traffic through the Stra...
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Exotics
While monitoring global shipping chokepoints is standard for macro supply chain and geopolitical analysts, predicting the exact number of ship transits for the Strait of Hormuz is moderately niche and rarely considered by the general public.
Hedging
Crude Oil
S&P 500
The Strait of Hormuz is the most critical global chokepoint for energy transport. A sharp drop in transits (e.g., falling into the 0-10 bracket) would typically indicate an extreme military blockade or war, triggering a structural spike in Crude Oil prices and dragging down broad equity indices like the S&P 500 due to macro shock. It serves as an excellent hedge for geopolitical tail risks.
AI Analysis
Check the update frequency of the IMF Portwatch website for the Strait of Hormuz transit data—is there a risk of data publication delays beyond June 14, 2026, triggering the fallback resolution rule?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 10?
Weather|$14.5k Vol|
time1 days 2 hrs

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 10?

Top Undervalued
+22.5¢
68-69°F(No)
+20.5¢
72°F or higher(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The latest weather forecasts for May 10 at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) indicate high te...
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Exotics
Betting on the exact highest temperature of a specific city on a single day is a niche, everyday topic. While it may seem obscure to the general public, weather markets have become relatively standard within prediction platforms.
Movers
On May 8, 2026, the '72°F or higher' option surged from 44c to 53.5c due to updated meteorological models confirming a warming trend for the weekend, with the NWS forecasting a high of 77°F. On May 8, 2026, the '66-67°F' and '64-65°F' options both plummeted (from 17.5c to 11c, and 17c to 9.5c, respectively) as previous cooler forecasts were overridden by clear, warmer expectations.
AI Analysis
Explain in the simplest terms: What are the specific resolution rules and win/loss conditions for this prediction market on the highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 10, based on Wunderground data?
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
82,000
YesNo
31¢
70¢
59.4¢
40.6¢
+28.4¢
0¢
80,000
YesNo
57¢
45¢
80.6¢
19.4¢
+23.6¢
0¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
AI Insights & Reasoning:
Positive Factor 1: Last Week High Breakout Status, 1.0000, Impact-Intense, Factor description Structural breakout: whether the price breaks above last week highest price (0/1) Positive Factor 2: Quarterly MA60 Deviation Rate, 0.0930, Impact-Intense, Factor description Medium-term trend: deviation of price relative to the 60-day decision moving average Positive Factor 3: Monthly MA20 Deviation Rate, 0.0240, Impact-Intense, Factor description Medium-term strength indicator: deviation of price relative to the 20-day life line Positive Factor 4: Weekly Price Change, 0.0200, Impact-Strong, Factor description Weekly candlestick pattern: percentage change from weekly open to current price Positive Factor 5: Bollinger Midline Deviation Rate, 0.0240, Impact-Strong, Factor description Swing support: deviation of price relative to the Bollinger midline (MA20) Negative Factor 1: Attack Line MA5 Deviation Rate, -0.0050, Impact-Medium, Factor description Short-term breakout potential: deviation of price relative to the 5-day moving average

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Bitcoin above ___ on May 14? - AI Found +28.4¢ Mispricing