Bitcoin above ___ on May 18?
Crypto|$10.5k Vol|
time6 days 9 hrs

Bitcoin above ___ on May 18? - AI Found +24.3¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated:
Top Undervalued
+24.3¢
82,000(Yes)
+23.3¢
84,000(Yes)
+20.9¢
80,000(Yes)

Bitcoin above ___ on May 18? AI analysis: • +24.3¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

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Highest temperature in Toronto on May 13?
Weather|$11.0k Vol|
time1 days 5 hrs

Highest temperature in Toronto on May 13?

Top Undervalued
+12.5¢
14°C(Yes)
+8¢
17°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecasts for Toronto Pearson Airport (CYYZ) on May 13, the high tempera...
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Exotics
Betting on the daily high temperature of a specific city is a niche but standard topic in prediction markets. While weather derivatives exist professionally, the general public rarely considers it as a betting subject in daily life.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in London on May 13?
Weather|$24.5k Vol|
time1 days 5 hrs

Highest temperature in London on May 13?

Top Undervalued
+18.5¢
15°C(Yes)
+16.5¢
13°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the highest temperature for London City Airport (EGLC) on...
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Divergence
The market's current pricing leans towards 13°C-14°C (combined probability of nearly 60%). However, the latest forecast from Wunderground, the resolution source, suggests high temperatures reaching 60°F to 61°F (approx. 15.5°C to 16.1°C). This divergence may be due to some traders not yet adjusting their expectations based on the latest meteorological models, creating a slight discrepancy between market prices and mainstream forecasts.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 13?
Weather|$34.8k Vol|
time1 days 5 hrs

Highest temperature in Seoul on May 13?

Top Undervalued
+8¢
22°C(Yes)
+7.5¢
20°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature in Incheon (including Incheon Intern...
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Rule Risk
The title asks for the temperature in 'Seoul,' but the rules specify the resolution source as the 'Incheon Intl Airport Station.' Incheon is coastal and adjacent to Seoul, so its temperature may differ from central Seoul, presenting a potential trap. Additionally, the market strictly relies on specific historical data from Wunderground with whole-degree Celsius precision.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Paris on May 13?
Weather|$10.5k Vol|
time1 days 5 hrs

Highest temperature in Paris on May 13?

Top Undervalued
+5¢
14°C(No)
+3¢
16°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecast data, the highest temperature in Paris (Le Bourget Airport) on ...
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AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 13?
Weather|$30.5k Vol|
time1 days 5 hrs

Highest temperature in Seattle on May 13?

Top Undervalued
+22¢
56-57°F(No)
+13.3¢
58-59°F(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Recent weather forecasts indicate rain and cooling in Seattle on May 13, with highs expected between...
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Divergence
There is a divergence between market pricing and older weather forecasts. While NWS predicted a high of 73°F a few days ago, updated models project around 59°F due to rain. The market has priced in the cooldown, though residual pricing remains for higher temperature tails.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
82,000
YesNo
43¢
61¢
67.3¢
32.7¢
+24.3¢
84,000
YesNo
22¢
78¢
45.3¢
54.7¢
+23.3¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
AI Insights & Reasoning:
Positive Factor 1: Quarterly MA60 Deviation Rate, 0.1060, Impact-Intense, Factor description Medium-term trend: deviation of price relative to the 60-day decision moving average Positive Factor 2: Monthly MA20 Deviation Rate, 0.0330, Impact-Intense, Factor description Medium-term strength indicator: deviation of price relative to the 20-day life line Positive Factor 3: Bollinger Midline Deviation Rate, 0.0330, Impact-Strong, Factor description Swing support: deviation of price relative to the Bollinger midline (MA20) Positive Factor 4: Attack Line MA5 Deviation Rate, 0.0050, Impact-Medium, Factor description Short-term breakout potential: deviation of price relative to the 5-day moving average Negative Factor 1: Weekly Price Change, -0.0060, Impact-Strong, Factor description Weekly candlestick pattern: percentage change from weekly open to current price Negative Factor 2: Volume-Price Divergence Signal, 1.0000, Impact-Strong, Factor description Potential trap signal: detect divergence where price rises but volume decreases

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