Bitcoin above ___ on May 19?
Crypto|$17.1k Vol|
time6 days 3 hrs

Bitcoin above ___ on May 19? - AI Found +12.3¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated:
Top Undervalued
+12.3¢
80,000(Yes)
+11.7¢
82,000(Yes)
+7.7¢
78,000(Yes)

Bitcoin above ___ on May 19? AI analysis: • +12.3¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

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Highest temperature in NYC on May 14?
Weather|$18.2k Vol|
time23 hrs 17 mins

Highest temperature in NYC on May 14?

Top Undervalued
+15¢
62-63°F(Yes)
+7.5¢
60-61°F(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature at New York LaGuardia Airport (KLGA)...
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Divergence
Current mainstream weather forecasts project a high of around 62°F on May 14 (affected by rain), yet the prediction market assigns high odds to 64-65°F and 66-67°F (combining for over 50%). This suggests the market might be referencing older forecast models, or anticipating that the LaGuardia weather station will record an extreme spike higher than standard forecasts due to the urban heat island effect or brief sun exposure. Overall, there is a moderate divergence between the market-implied probabilities and the raw median weather forecasts.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Atlanta on May 14?
Weather|$10.7k Vol|
time23 hrs 17 mins

Highest temperature in Atlanta on May 14?

Top Undervalued
+17.5¢
76-77°F(Yes)
+17¢
74-75°F(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the official resolution source (Wunderground), the latest forecast for May 14 in Atlant...
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Divergence
There is a slight divergence. While the market prices '76-77°F' as the favorite (26c), the specific resolution source (Wunderground) currently forecasts a high of exactly 74°F, which falls in the '74-75°F' bracket. The market may be factoring in other slightly warmer local forecasts or expecting an upward revision as the date approaches.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
80,000
YesNo
52¢
52¢
64.3¢
35.7¢
+12.3¢
82,000
YesNo
30¢
74¢
41.7¢
58.3¢
+11.7¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
AI Insights & Reasoning:
Positive Factor 1: Quarterly MA60 Deviation Rate, 0.0870, Impact-Intense, Factor description Medium-term trend: deviation of price relative to the 60-day decision moving average Positive Factor 2: Monthly MA20 Deviation Rate, 0.0170, Impact-Intense, Factor description Medium-term strength indicator: deviation of price relative to the 20-day life line Positive Factor 3: Bollinger Midline Deviation Rate, 0.0170, Impact-Strong, Factor description Swing support: deviation of price relative to the Bollinger midline (MA20) Negative Factor 1: Weekly Price Change, -0.0210, Impact-Strong, Factor description Weekly candlestick pattern: percentage change from weekly open to current price Negative Factor 2: Attack Line MA5 Deviation Rate, -0.0080, Impact-Medium, Factor description Short-term breakout potential: deviation of price relative to the 5-day moving average

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