Bitcoin price on April 23? - AI Found +11.4¢ Mispricing

Crypto|$4,331 Vol|

5 days 16 hrs

Bitcoin price on April 23? - AI Found +11.4¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated:

Top Undervalued

+11.4¢

>84,000(Yes)

+9.2¢

74,000-76,000(No)

+7.6¢

82,000-84,000(Yes)

Bitcoin price on April 23? AI analysis: • +11.4¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Real-time High Yield Opportunities

Weather|$30.3k Vol|

Highest temperature in Milan on April 18?

Top Undervalued

Undervalued Options Insights:

Based on the latest weather forecasts and market trends, the highest temperature in Milan (Malpensa ...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

April 16, 2026 - April 17, 2026, the price of the 25°C option surged from 14.5c to 38.5c, as the latest meteorological forecasts closer to the resolution date revised the expected high temperature upwards to around 25°C. April 16, 2026 - April 17, 2026, the price of the 23°C option plummeted from 30.5c to 12.5c, because the probability of settling at 23°C significantly decreased with the upward revision in temperature forecasts. April 16, 2026 - April 17, 2026, the price of the 24°C option rose from 20.5c to 35.5c, peaking at 37.5c, indicating that 24°C and 25°C have become the primary contested range.

Check the historical reliability and update frequency of the Wunderground Malpensa Intl Airport (LIMC) data source to confirm there are no risks of missing or delayed maximum temperature records for April 18.

Weather|$17.5k Vol|

Highest temperature in Lagos on April 18?

Top Undervalued

Undervalued Options Insights:

According to the latest forecasts from Wunderground [2], Lagos is expected to reach a high between 8...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

While weather forecasting is a standard derivative category in prediction markets, betting on the exact daily high temperature at a specific weather station in Lagos, Nigeria, on a random day is a niche topic that the general public would not typically think about or monitor.

Between 09:18 and 13:38 on April 16, 2026, the 35°C option spiked from 7.5c to 27c before dropping to 14c. During the same window, the 33°C option plummeted from 37.5c to 18.5c and rebounded, and 31°C crashed from 18c to 4.5c. This extreme volatility was driven by shifting near-term weather models regarding the exact timing of thunderstorms, causing wild speculation on the probability of a temperature spike.

Mainstream weather forecasts (e.g., Wunderground [2]) predict peak temperatures between 31°C and 32°C [2], yet the prediction market places the highest probabilities on 33°C (29c) and 34°C (24.5c). This divergence likely occurs because forecast models tend to be conservative with thunderstorm dampening effects, while traders anticipate delayed rain, allowing for a brief, sharp afternoon temperature spike.

How reliable is the Wunderground historical data for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport (DNMM) station, and what resolution risks exist if the station misses data or stops updating on April 18?

Weather|$24.5k Vol|

Highest temperature in Atlanta on April 18?

Top Undervalued

Undervalued Options Insights:

Latest weather forecasts indicate that the high temperature in Atlanta on April 18, 2026, will likel...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

While checking the weather is a daily routine, predicting the exact high-temperature range for a specific city on a specific future date is not something most people think about unless prompted, making it a moderately niche prediction market topic.

April 16, 2026 - April 17, 2026: The prices of several lower-temperature options (such as 82-83°F, 80-81°F, 78-79°F) crashed by more than 10c each. For instance, 82-83°F plummeted from 20.5c to 2.5c. This is because, as the target date approaches, weather forecasts consolidated around near 90°F highs, eliminating the possibility of lower temperatures. April 16, 2026 - April 17, 2026: The price of 84-85°F dropped from 27c to 15.5c, as temperature expectations shifted even higher into the 86-89°F range.

How frequently does Wunderground update the KATL station data, and is there any risk of downtime or delay on April 18?

Politics|$14.9k Vol|

IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Top Undervalued

Christina Bohannan(Yes)

Taylor Wettach(No)

Undervalued Options Insights:

Based on prior analysis, Taylor Wettach withdrew in January 2026 to run for Iowa State Auditor and w...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

[Category 3: Decision & Action] Low Liquidity 'Stink Bid' Strategy: Given the near-zero liquidity of this market, formulate a 'Stink Bid' strategy. Calculate the optimal ultra-low price range (e.g., 1-5 cents) to place limit buy orders for underdog candidates instead of taking market prices, aiming to catch high-odds lottery tickets caused by information asymmetry or user errors, while assessing the opportunity cost of locking capital until June.

[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Visit the Polymarket page to analyze the Order Book for the IA-01 Democratic Primary. Given the extremely low volume ($30), assess the spread risk caused by liquidity depletion. Simultaneously, retrieve local Iowa political news to confirm if 2024 nominee Christina Bohannan has officially announced her 2026 run, utilizing this to reassess if current prices reflect her fair value as the potential frontrunner.

[Category 1: Awareness & Verification] Candidate Qualification & Funding Check: Search Federal Election Commission (FEC) filings and the Iowa Secretary of State's candidate list to verify if Travis Terrell and Taylor Wettach have officially filed paperwork and raised substantial campaign funds, or if they are merely 'paper candidates,' to determine if this market is likely to turn into a one-sided run for Bohannan.

[Category 3: Decision & Action] Low Liquidity 'Stink Bid' Strategy: Given the near-zero liquidity of this market, formulate a 'Stink Bid' strategy. Calculate the optimal ultra-low price range (e.g., 1-5 cents) to place limit buy orders for underdog candidates instead of taking market prices, aiming to catch high-odds lottery tickets caused by information asymmetry or user errors, while assessing the opportunity cost of locking capital until June.

[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Visit the Polymarket page to analyze the Order Book for the IA-01 Democratic Primary. Given the extremely low volume ($30), assess the spread risk caused by liquidity depletion. Simultaneously, retrieve local Iowa political news to confirm if 2024 nominee Christina Bohannan has officially announced her 2026 run, utilizing this to reassess if current prices reflect her fair value as the potential frontrunner.

Politics|$15.6k Vol|

PA-16 House Election Winner

Top Undervalued

Republican Party(Yes)

Democratic Party(No)

Undervalued Options Insights:

PA-16 is a Solid Republican district (Cook PVI R+13) in northwestern Pennsylvania. Incumbent Republi...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

There is a divergence between the market price (implying an 87% chance for the GOP) and mainstream political forecasting models. Major election raters like the Cook Political Report classify PA-16 as 'Solid Republican,' a category where the historical win rate exceeds 95%. The market, likely due to low liquidity or retail bias, is underpricing the absolute advantage the GOP holds in this district.

[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest campaign status of incumbent Republican Mike Kelly and the Cook Partisan Voting Index (PVI) for PA-16. Visit the Polymarket page to analyze the bid-ask spread given the low liquidity ($4463.8), and assess whether the current price offers arbitrage opportunities by deviating from the consensus of this being a "Safe Republican" seat.

[Awareness & Verification] Opposing Arguments Retrieval: Although PA-16 is traditionally a Republican stronghold, specifically search for "2026 PA-16 upset possibility" or "Mike Kelly controversy". List the top 3 potential "Black Swan" factors (e.g., demographic shifts after redistricting, sudden scandals, or retirement rumors) that could lead to a Democratic upset, helping to break the echo chamber.

[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest campaign status of incumbent Republican Mike Kelly and the Cook Partisan Voting Index (PVI) for PA-16. Visit the Polymarket page to analyze the bid-ask spread given the low liquidity ($4463.8), and assess whether the current price offers arbitrage opportunities by deviating from the consensus of this being a "Safe Republican" seat.

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

>84,000

YesNo

4.35¢

95.65¢

15.7¢

84.3¢

+11.4¢

0¢

74,000-76,000

YesNo

18.5¢

81.5¢

9.3¢

90.7¢

0¢

+9.2¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

AI Insights & Reasoning:

Positive Factor 1: Last Week High Breakout Status, 1.0000, Impact-Intense, Factor description Structural breakout: whether the price breaks above last week highest price (0/1) Positive Factor 2: Quarterly MA60 Deviation Rate, 0.0800, Impact-Intense, Factor description Medium-term trend: deviation of price relative to the 60-day decision moving average Positive Factor 3: Monthly MA20 Deviation Rate, 0.0620, Impact-Intense, Factor description Medium-term strength indicator: deviation of price relative to the 20-day life line Positive Factor 4: Weekly Price Change, 0.0610, Impact-Strong, Factor description Weekly candlestick pattern: percentage change from weekly open to current price Positive Factor 5: Bollinger Midline Deviation Rate, 0.0620, Impact-Strong, Factor description Swing support: deviation of price relative to the Bollinger midline (MA20) Positive Factor 6: Attack Line MA5 Deviation Rate, 0.0050, Impact-Medium, Factor description Short-term breakout potential: deviation of price relative to the 5-day moving average

Real-time High Yield Opportunities

Weather|$30.3k Vol|

Highest temperature in Milan on April 18?

Top Undervalued

Undervalued Options Insights:

Based on the latest weather forecasts and market trends, the highest temperature in Milan (Malpensa ...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

April 16, 2026 - April 17, 2026, the price of the 25°C option surged from 14.5c to 38.5c, as the latest meteorological forecasts closer to the resolution date revised the expected high temperature upwards to around 25°C. April 16, 2026 - April 17, 2026, the price of the 23°C option plummeted from 30.5c to 12.5c, because the probability of settling at 23°C significantly decreased with the upward revision in temperature forecasts. April 16, 2026 - April 17, 2026, the price of the 24°C option rose from 20.5c to 35.5c, peaking at 37.5c, indicating that 24°C and 25°C have become the primary contested range.

Check the historical reliability and update frequency of the Wunderground Malpensa Intl Airport (LIMC) data source to confirm there are no risks of missing or delayed maximum temperature records for April 18.

Weather|$17.5k Vol|

Highest temperature in Lagos on April 18?

Top Undervalued

Undervalued Options Insights:

According to the latest forecasts from Wunderground [2], Lagos is expected to reach a high between 8...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

While weather forecasting is a standard derivative category in prediction markets, betting on the exact daily high temperature at a specific weather station in Lagos, Nigeria, on a random day is a niche topic that the general public would not typically think about or monitor.

Between 09:18 and 13:38 on April 16, 2026, the 35°C option spiked from 7.5c to 27c before dropping to 14c. During the same window, the 33°C option plummeted from 37.5c to 18.5c and rebounded, and 31°C crashed from 18c to 4.5c. This extreme volatility was driven by shifting near-term weather models regarding the exact timing of thunderstorms, causing wild speculation on the probability of a temperature spike.

Mainstream weather forecasts (e.g., Wunderground [2]) predict peak temperatures between 31°C and 32°C [2], yet the prediction market places the highest probabilities on 33°C (29c) and 34°C (24.5c). This divergence likely occurs because forecast models tend to be conservative with thunderstorm dampening effects, while traders anticipate delayed rain, allowing for a brief, sharp afternoon temperature spike.

How reliable is the Wunderground historical data for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport (DNMM) station, and what resolution risks exist if the station misses data or stops updating on April 18?

Weather|$24.5k Vol|

Highest temperature in Atlanta on April 18?

Top Undervalued

Undervalued Options Insights:

Latest weather forecasts indicate that the high temperature in Atlanta on April 18, 2026, will likel...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

While checking the weather is a daily routine, predicting the exact high-temperature range for a specific city on a specific future date is not something most people think about unless prompted, making it a moderately niche prediction market topic.

April 16, 2026 - April 17, 2026: The prices of several lower-temperature options (such as 82-83°F, 80-81°F, 78-79°F) crashed by more than 10c each. For instance, 82-83°F plummeted from 20.5c to 2.5c. This is because, as the target date approaches, weather forecasts consolidated around near 90°F highs, eliminating the possibility of lower temperatures. April 16, 2026 - April 17, 2026: The price of 84-85°F dropped from 27c to 15.5c, as temperature expectations shifted even higher into the 86-89°F range.

How frequently does Wunderground update the KATL station data, and is there any risk of downtime or delay on April 18?

Politics|$14.9k Vol|

IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Top Undervalued

Christina Bohannan(Yes)

Taylor Wettach(No)

Undervalued Options Insights:

Based on prior analysis, Taylor Wettach withdrew in January 2026 to run for Iowa State Auditor and w...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

[Category 3: Decision & Action] Low Liquidity 'Stink Bid' Strategy: Given the near-zero liquidity of this market, formulate a 'Stink Bid' strategy. Calculate the optimal ultra-low price range (e.g., 1-5 cents) to place limit buy orders for underdog candidates instead of taking market prices, aiming to catch high-odds lottery tickets caused by information asymmetry or user errors, while assessing the opportunity cost of locking capital until June.

[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Visit the Polymarket page to analyze the Order Book for the IA-01 Democratic Primary. Given the extremely low volume ($30), assess the spread risk caused by liquidity depletion. Simultaneously, retrieve local Iowa political news to confirm if 2024 nominee Christina Bohannan has officially announced her 2026 run, utilizing this to reassess if current prices reflect her fair value as the potential frontrunner.

[Category 1: Awareness & Verification] Candidate Qualification & Funding Check: Search Federal Election Commission (FEC) filings and the Iowa Secretary of State's candidate list to verify if Travis Terrell and Taylor Wettach have officially filed paperwork and raised substantial campaign funds, or if they are merely 'paper candidates,' to determine if this market is likely to turn into a one-sided run for Bohannan.

[Category 3: Decision & Action] Low Liquidity 'Stink Bid' Strategy: Given the near-zero liquidity of this market, formulate a 'Stink Bid' strategy. Calculate the optimal ultra-low price range (e.g., 1-5 cents) to place limit buy orders for underdog candidates instead of taking market prices, aiming to catch high-odds lottery tickets caused by information asymmetry or user errors, while assessing the opportunity cost of locking capital until June.

[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Visit the Polymarket page to analyze the Order Book for the IA-01 Democratic Primary. Given the extremely low volume ($30), assess the spread risk caused by liquidity depletion. Simultaneously, retrieve local Iowa political news to confirm if 2024 nominee Christina Bohannan has officially announced her 2026 run, utilizing this to reassess if current prices reflect her fair value as the potential frontrunner.

Politics|$15.6k Vol|

PA-16 House Election Winner

Top Undervalued

Republican Party(Yes)

Democratic Party(No)

Undervalued Options Insights:

PA-16 is a Solid Republican district (Cook PVI R+13) in northwestern Pennsylvania. Incumbent Republi...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

There is a divergence between the market price (implying an 87% chance for the GOP) and mainstream political forecasting models. Major election raters like the Cook Political Report classify PA-16 as 'Solid Republican,' a category where the historical win rate exceeds 95%. The market, likely due to low liquidity or retail bias, is underpricing the absolute advantage the GOP holds in this district.

[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest campaign status of incumbent Republican Mike Kelly and the Cook Partisan Voting Index (PVI) for PA-16. Visit the Polymarket page to analyze the bid-ask spread given the low liquidity ($4463.8), and assess whether the current price offers arbitrage opportunities by deviating from the consensus of this being a "Safe Republican" seat.

[Awareness & Verification] Opposing Arguments Retrieval: Although PA-16 is traditionally a Republican stronghold, specifically search for "2026 PA-16 upset possibility" or "Mike Kelly controversy". List the top 3 potential "Black Swan" factors (e.g., demographic shifts after redistricting, sudden scandals, or retirement rumors) that could lead to a Democratic upset, helping to break the echo chamber.

[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest campaign status of incumbent Republican Mike Kelly and the Cook Partisan Voting Index (PVI) for PA-16. Visit the Polymarket page to analyze the bid-ask spread given the low liquidity ($4463.8), and assess whether the current price offers arbitrage opportunities by deviating from the consensus of this being a "Safe Republican" seat.

Support

Frequently Asked Questions

1. What is PolyPredict AI and how can I access it?

2. How does the AI determine the "Fair Value"?

3. What makes the "Arbitrage Plans" unique?

4. What is the difference between Event and Live Markets?

5. What are the key differences between the Free and Pro versions?

6. Can I use PolyPredict AI on Telegram?

The All-in-One AI Copilot for Prediction Markets

The All-in-One AI Copilot for Prediction Markets

Market data provided by PolyMarket.

© 2026 SynthMind AI Limited.

Markets

AI Insights

Tools & subscriptions

Community

Policies & security

Partner

Apex Omni