Bitcoin price on May 7?
Crypto|$12.0k Vol|
time3 days 11 hrs

Bitcoin price on May 7? - AI Found +10.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated:
Top Undervalued
+10.5¢
82,000-84,000(Yes)
+9.4¢
76,000-78,000(No)
+9¢
78,000-80,000(No)

Bitcoin price on May 7? AI analysis: • +10.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

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Best AI model on May 8? (Style Control Off)
Tech|$17.1k Vol|
time3 days 19 hrs

Best AI model on May 8? (Style Control Off)

Top Undervalued
+1.1¢
claude-opus-4-6-thinking(No)
+0.7¢
Other(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
claude-opus-4-6-thinking currently dominates the market with its price climbing to 94c. Given the la...
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Movers
May 1, 2026 - May 2, 2026: The price of claude-opus-4-6-thinking surged from 73c to 94c, driven by its sustained dominance on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard and increasing market confidence as the resolution date approaches. Concurrently, other competing models (e.g., claude-opus-4-7-thinking, gemini-3.1-pro-preview) saw their prices plummet by more than 10c down to near 1c, reflecting their fading chances of taking the top spot.
AI Analysis
Explain the resolution rules for the May 8 Chatbot Arena market (ELI5): How exactly are tied AI models ranked using Arena scores and alphabetical order if their 'Style Control Off' ranks on lmarena.ai are identical?
Malta Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Elections|$17.9k Vol|
time25 days 19 hrs

Malta Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

Top Undervalued
+21.5¢
Momentum(No)
+20.5¢
AD+PD(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Malta has a highly entrenched two-party system where the Labour Party and the Nationalist Party typi...
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Exotics
Malta's political landscape has long been dominated by a two-party system (Labour and Nationalist parties). While asking who will secure third place is a specific and niche topic, betting on election placements is a common extension of regular political markets, making it only moderately exotic.
Divergence
Mainstream consensus firmly expects AD+PD to be the third-largest party by vote share (since minor parties typically win 0 seats, breaking the tie via votes), with Labour and PN taking the first two spots. The prediction market assigns a >40% probability to every option (including the major two parties) finishing 3rd, which is mathematically impossible and completely contradicts political reality.
AI Analysis
Compare the latest polling data from authoritative Maltese sources regarding the third-place party race with the current odds discrepancies on Polymarket for options like AD+PD or Imperium Europa.
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 4?
Weather|$117.8k Vol|
time7 hrs 31 mins

Highest temperature in Seoul on May 4?

Top Undervalued
+43¢
18°C(No)
+25.5¢
17°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature in Incheon on May 4, 2026, is expect...
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Rule Risk
The title asks for the temperature in Seoul, but the rules strictly specify the Incheon Intl Airport Station as the resolution source. Incheon's coastal climate can cause its temperature to differ from downtown Seoul. Additionally, resolution relies on whole-degree Celsius data strictly from Wunderground, so participants must be careful regarding the location mismatch and rounding rules.
Movers
May 2, 2026 - May 3, 2026, the price of the 17°C option rose from 26c to 41c, and the 16°C option dropped from 28.5c to 10c, as the latest weather forecasts heading into the resolution day revised the expected high temperatures slightly upwards towards the 17-19°C range.
AI Analysis
How reliable is the Wunderground history page for the Incheon Intl Airport Station (RKSI), and exactly when is the May 4th daily highest temperature data considered 'finalized' according to the resolution rules?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 4?
Weather|$10.5k Vol|
time7 hrs 31 mins

Highest temperature in Seattle on May 4?

Top Undervalued
+0.5¢
70-71°F(No)
+0.4¢
74°F or higher(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecasts and the high market consensus, the maximum temperature at Seat...
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Movers
Between May 2, 2026, and May 4, 2026, the price of the '74°F or higher' option surged from 77c to 98c. This was due to weather forecasts becoming highly certain of a warm day as the date approached, eliminating market doubts about lower temperature ranges.
AI Analysis
Based on historical data from Wunderground for the SeaTac airport station, what is the actual frequency of the highest temperature falling into each option's range (e.g., 62-63°F or 66-67°F) on May 4th over the past few years?
Highest temperature in Dallas on May 4?
Weather|$31.5k Vol|
time7 hrs 31 mins

Highest temperature in Dallas on May 4?

Top Undervalued
+0.7¢
72°F or higher(No)
+0.3¢
70-71°F(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature for Dallas Love Field on May 4, 2026...
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Exotics
Predicting the daily high temperature in a specific city falls under weather prediction markets. While not uncommon in professional trading (weather derivatives), it is quite niche for the general public. Few people actively track or bet on such specific meteorological metrics unless they live locally, giving it a moderate novelty factor.
AI Analysis
Based on the Wunderground rules for the Dallas Love Field (KDAL) station, how is the 'highest temperature' finalized, and how would post-finalization data revisions affect the market's resolution?
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
82,000-84,000
YesNo
17.2¢
82.8¢
27.7¢
72.3¢
+10.5¢
0¢
76,000-78,000
YesNo
14.5¢
85.5¢
5.1¢
94.9¢
0¢
+9.4¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
AI Insights & Reasoning:
Positive Factor 1: Quarterly MA60 Deviation Rate, 0.0870, Impact-Intense, Factor description Medium-term trend: deviation of price relative to the 60-day decision moving average Positive Factor 2: Monthly MA20 Deviation Rate, 0.0200, Impact-Intense, Factor description Medium-term strength indicator: deviation of price relative to the 20-day life line Positive Factor 3: Bollinger Midline Deviation Rate, 0.0200, Impact-Strong, Factor description Swing support: deviation of price relative to the Bollinger midline (MA20) Positive Factor 4: Attack Line MA5 Deviation Rate, 0.0060, Impact-Medium, Factor description Short-term breakout potential: deviation of price relative to the 5-day moving average Negative Factor 1: Weekly Price Change, -0.0010, Impact-Strong, Factor description Weekly candlestick pattern: percentage change from weekly open to current price Negative Factor 2: Volume-Price Divergence Signal, 1.0000, Impact-Strong, Factor description Potential trap signal: detect divergence where price rises but volume decreases

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Bitcoin price on May 7? - AI Found +10.5¢ Mispricing