Retrieve the latest updates on the April 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary Election, specifically focusing on the rivalry between GERB-SDS and PP-DB; visit the Polymarket page to analyze the order book structure given the extremely low volume (~$232), updating the assessment of fair value and liquidity risks.

AI-powered analysis for: Retrieve the latest updates on the April 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary Election, specifically focusing on the rivalry between GERB-SDS and PP-DB; visit the Polymarket page to analyze the order book structure given the extremely low volume (~$232), updating the assessment of fair value and liquidity risks.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Search for the latest polling data from authoritative agencies like Alpha Research or Gallup International Balkan for this election, and compare the projected seat counts for GERB-SDS, PP-DB, and Vazrazhdane against current Polymarket odds to identify major discrepancies caused by low market attention.

AI-powered analysis for: Search for the latest polling data from authoritative agencies like Alpha Research or Gallup International Balkan for this election, and compare the projected seat counts for GERB-SDS, PP-DB, and Vazrazhdane against current Polymarket odds to identify major discrepancies caused by low market attention.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Based on the extremely low total trading volume of ~$232, analyze the bid-ask spread and depth for the 'GERB-SDS' and 'PP-DB' options, qualitatively assessing the slippage risk for a $100-level entry and determining if market orders should be avoided in favor of limit orders.

AI-powered analysis for: Based on the extremely low total trading volume of ~$232, analyze the bid-ask spread and depth for the 'GERB-SDS' and 'PP-DB' options, qualitatively assessing the slippage risk for a $100-level entry and determining if market orders should be avoided in favor of limit orders.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Elections|$7,771 Vol|

30 days 20 hrs

Bulgaria Parliamentary Election Winner - AI Odds Analysis

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

MECH

YesNo

4.35¢

95.65¢

0¢

100¢

0¢

+4.3¢

DPS

YesNo

3.65¢

96.35¢

0¢

100¢

0¢

+3.6¢

GERB–SDS

YesNo

13¢

87¢

15¢

85¢

+2¢

0¢

PP–DB

YesNo

4.75¢

95.25¢

3¢

97¢

0¢

+1.7¢

Vazrazhdane

YesNo

0.35¢

99.65¢

2¢

98¢

+1.7¢

0¢

BSP-United Left

YesNo

1.5¢

98.5¢

0¢

100¢

0¢

+1.5¢

ITN

YesNo

1.55¢

98.45¢

0¢

100¢

0¢

+1.5¢

PB

YesNo

78.5¢

21.5¢

80¢

20¢

+1.5¢

0¢

APS

YesNo

1.25¢

98.75¢

0¢

100¢

0¢

+1.2¢

Velichie

YesNo

0.45¢

99.55¢

0¢

100¢

0¢

+0.4¢

AI Insights:

03.13 20:00 Updated

Fair Value Reasoning:

According to March 2026 polls (Gallup/Alpha Research), Rumen Radev's newly formed 'Progressive Bulga...

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Divergence

Extreme divergence detected. PP-DB is priced at 49.5c (implying ~50% win chance), whereas polls place them at ~11% support in a distant third place. The market pricing is completely disconnected from polling reality, and the sum of implied probabilities vastly exceeds 100%.

Bulgaria Parliamentary Election Winner - AI Odds Analysis

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