All
Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
FC Koln
YesNo
Hamburger SV
YesNo
FC Heidenheim
YesNo
Union Berlin
YesNo
St. Pauli
YesNo
FC Augsburg
YesNo
AI Insights:
03.04 00:29 UpdatedFair Value Reasoning:
As of March 4, 2026, with less than three months remaining in the Bundesliga season, FC Heidenheim's price remains sticky at ~95 cents, signaling their relegation is virtually inevitable. The most significant shift is in the relegation 'dogfight' zone: St. Pauli's 'Yes' price dropped sharply from 47 cents a week ago to 36.5 cents, suggesting they secured crucial points to distance themselves from the drop zone. Conversely, FC Koln has seen a rapid repricing from a low of ~8 cents in late Feb to ~15-18 cents, indicating a sudden deterioration in form dragging them back into danger. FC Augsburg and Hamburger SV have drifted to single digits, reflecting a newly established safety buffer.
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Movers
From Feb 28, 2026, to Mar 2, 2026, St. Pauli's price plummeted from 48.5c to 36.5c. Simultaneously, FC Koln's price spiked from 8.15c to 18.45c between Feb 28 and Mar 1. This synchronized inverse movement strongly suggests a pivotal Matchday result where St. Pauli won and FC Koln lost, shifting the relegation pressure significantly toward Koln.
Around Feb 10, 2026 (Previous Context), no volatility exceeding 10 cents was detected, indicating a period of market stability prior to this recent shake-up.
