CA-07 Primary Winners
Elections|$7,433 Vol|
time28 days 7 hrs

CA-07 Primary Winners - AI Found +14¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.23 16:49
Top Undervalued
+14¢
Mai Vang(Yes)
+10.5¢
Ralph Nwobi(No)
+5¢
Robert Morin(Yes)

CA-07 Primary Winners AI analysis: • +14¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
California utilizes a top-two primary system where all candidates run on the same ballot, and the to...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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Highest temperature in Wellington on May 5?
Weather|$29.1k Vol|
time19 hrs 38 mins

Highest temperature in Wellington on May 5?

Top Undervalued
+25.5¢
16°C(No)
+22¢
15°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecast data, the maximum temperature in Wellington on May 5, 2026,...
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Exotics
This is a highly specific regional weather market. While weather derivatives are not uncommon in traditional finance, betting on the exact daily high temperature of Wellington, New Zealand remains a somewhat niche and novelty topic for mainstream retail prediction market users.
AI Analysis
What will be the top US Netflix show this week?
Culture|$27.1k Vol|
time7 hrs 38 mins

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

Top Undervalued
+7.9¢
Should I Marry A Murderer?(No)
+3.2¢
Man on Fire: Season 1(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
In the current market, 'Should I Marry A Murderer?' has a commanding Yes price of 91.5c, indicating ...
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Movers
May 1, 2026 - May 3, 2026, 'Should I Marry A Murderer?' surged from 24.5c to 91.5c as weekend viewership data showed it taking a commanding lead for the #1 spot. April 30, 2026 - May 3, 2026, 'Man on Fire: Season 1' plummeted from a peak of 72c to 4c as it was overtaken by 'Should I Marry A Murderer?' over the weekend, losing its competitive edge for the top spot. April 30, 2026 - May 1, 2026, 'Should I Marry A Murderer?' saw a sharp spike from 10c to a peak of 45c before settling at 32.5c, reflecting sudden viral momentum and a market repricing of its competitive chances. April 30, 2026 - May 1, 2026, 'Running Point: Season 2' dropped from 42.5c to ~30.5c, losing its frontrunner status as competing shows gained stronger late-week traction.
AI Analysis
James Comey mugshot released by May 5?
Politics|$48.4k Vol|
time7 hrs 38 mins

James Comey mugshot released by May 5?

Top Undervalued
+0.4¢
(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With only 2 days left until the resolution date and the current price having dropped to 1.2c, the ma...
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Exotics
This is a highly specific, gossip-driven political market. Unless there is breaking legal news regarding him, the general public does not typically speculate on whether a former FBI Director will have a mugshot released within a specific week, making it quite novel and exotic.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
Mai Vang
YesNo
61¢
39¢
75¢
25¢
+14¢
Ralph Nwobi
YesNo
20.5¢
79.5¢
10¢
90¢
+10.5¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Divergence
There is a massive divergence between the prediction market and basic political reality. Not only is the market failing to reflect the overwhelming advantage of incumbent Doris Matsui (pricing her 'Yes' at merely 55.5c), but the sum of all 'Yes' probabilities is 261%. This completely ignores the structural reality of California's top-two primary system, which caps the total advancement probability at exactly 200%.

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