Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner
Politics|$90.4k Vol|
time57 days 21 hrs

Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 1 hours ago
Top Undervalued
+1.6¢
Bob Brinkerhoff(No)
+1¢
Will McBride(No)
+0.8¢
Jason Mikesell(No)

Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner AI analysis: • +1.6¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Victor Marx continues to lead, hovering around a fair value of 58c. Barbara Kirkmeyer has slightly r...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 3?
Weather|$28.9k Vol|
time9 hrs 28 mins

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 3?

Top Undervalued
+10.5¢
30°C(Yes)
+7.5¢
28°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecast data, there will be light rain in Shenzhen (near Bao'an Int...
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Exotics
While predicting the daily high temperature for a specific city is somewhat niche, weather data prediction is a recurring category on prediction markets. It's not extremely bizarre, though rarely a focus for the general public.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 3?
Weather|$24.9k Vol|
time9 hrs 28 mins

Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 3?

Top Undervalued
+24.6¢
23°C(No)
+20.4¢
26°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature in Chengdu (Shuangliu International ...
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Exotics
This is a prediction market targeting the specific high temperature of a single day in Chengdu. Aside from local residents or specialized weather derivative traders, the general public rarely thinks about or predicts this specific data point, giving it a moderate level of novelty and exoticism.
Divergence
Current market prices imply a high temperature of 25°C to 26°C, but most weather forecast platforms (such as Google and AccuWeather data) predict a high between 23°C and 24°C. Market participants may be pricing in urban heat island effects or an upward trend in temperatures before forecast updates.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 3?
Weather|$41.1k Vol|
time9 hrs 28 mins

Highest temperature in Beijing on May 3?

Top Undervalued
+19.5¢
21°C(No)
+14.5¢
24°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Recent weather forecasts indicate that the highest temperature at Beijing Capital International Airp...
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AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 3?
Weather|$22.2k Vol|
time9 hrs 28 mins

Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 3?

Top Undervalued
+32.5¢
25°C(No)
+23.5¢
23°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to major weather forecasts (e.g., Google Weather, AccuWeather), the highest temperature at...
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AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
Bob Brinkerhoff
YesNo
1.65¢
98.35¢
100¢
+1.6¢
Will McBride
YesNo
99¢
100¢
+1¢

Expand to view all 15 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
April 30-May 2, 2026, Bob Brinkerhoff's price plummeted from 11.2c to 0.15c, and Will McBride's price collapsed from 12.5c to 1c, likely because the confirmation of Colorado Republican primary ballot access led to the elimination of fringe candidates, causing capital to quickly flee. April 14-15, 2026, Victor Marx's price surged from 42.5c to 62.5c, likely because the market absorbed a strong new endorsement or breakthrough polling data, establishing his absolute lead. In the same period, Barbara Kirkmeyer's price fell from 28c to 22.5c, squeezed by the capital shift. April 5-11, 2026, Prices of all candidates fluctuated slightly with no significant moves over 10c, indicating the market has entered a relatively stable wait-and-see period. April 3-4, 2026, Victor Marx's price plummeted from 63.5c to 47.5c, likely due to a shift in the race or sudden negative news shaking market confidence. April 3-4, 2026, Scott Bottoms's price surged from 1.3c to 11.2c, likely due to new endorsements or polling support, absorbing some of the share flowing out from Marx. March 21-28, 2026, Daniel Thomas's price declined steadily from 14.75c to 5.9c, as the market corrected the previously inflated price caused by low liquidity, with capital flowing away from fringe candidates lacking fundamental support. March 16-18, 2026, The market experienced extreme volatility and correction. Victor Marx spiked to 77c before crashing back to 57.5c, while Barbara Kirkmeyer rebounded strongly from a low of 13.5c to 35c. This suggests an initial overreaction/pump on Marx followed by a correction as liquidity returned to Kirkmeyer, repricing the head-to-head race. Simultaneously, Scott Bottoms collapsed from ~12.5c to the 2c range, signaling the final consolidation of the MAGA vote to Marx. February 27-28, 2026, Daniel Thomas saw an abnormal spike from 6c to 24c, likely due to low liquidity/fat-finger trading. January 6-7, 2026, Prices for Greg Lopez and Mark Baisley collapsed as they exited the governor's primary for an Independent run and a Senate bid, respectively.

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