Democratic VP Nominee 2028
Politics|$1 Vol|
time847 days 17 hrs

Democratic VP Nominee 2028 - AI Found +49¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.14 19:11
Top Undervalued
+49¢
Elissa Slotkin(No)
+45.5¢
James Talarico(No)
+40.5¢
Oprah Winfrey(No)

Democratic VP Nominee 2028 AI analysis: • +49¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Predictions for the 2028 Democratic VP nominee are in very early stages. Given the long time horizon...
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Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 16?
Weather|$17.4k Vol|
time1 days 5 hrs

Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 16?

Top Undervalued
+22¢
21°C(No)
+11.5¢
20°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature for Tokyo (specifically around Haned...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Exotics
Predicting the exact highest temperature of a specific city on a given day is somewhat uncommon in mainstream prediction markets, but weather forecasting itself is an established niche, making it moderately unusual but not bizarre.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 16?
Weather|$40.0k Vol|
time1 days 5 hrs

Highest temperature in Wellington on April 16?

Top Undervalued
+15.5¢
18°C(No)
+13¢
19°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest forecasts from MetService New Zealand and other meteorological platforms, th...
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Exotics
Moderately exotic. While daily weather markets are a common staple on prediction platforms, the general public rarely speculates on the exact highest temperature of a specific city on a random day.
Divergence
There is a notable divergence. Mainstream weather forecasts (e.g., New Zealand's official MetService) predict a high of 17°C, while other international platforms (like AccuWeather) suggest 15-16°C. However, the market currently prices 18°C as the most likely outcome (trading at 35.5c, higher than 17°C's 21c). Market participants may be pricing in a localized microclimate warming bias or recent air mass anomalies not yet fully reflected in standard models.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 16?
Weather|$11.7k Vol|
time1 days 5 hrs

Highest temperature in Singapore on April 16?

Top Undervalued
+7.5¢
32°C(Yes)
+5.5¢
30°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Singapore typically experiences hot weather in mid-April, with daily maximum temperatures frequently...
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Exotics
While weather derivatives exist in professional finance, betting on a specific city's exact daily temperature in a retail prediction market is somewhat niche and represents a moderately exotic novelty market.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
Elissa Slotkin
YesNo
50¢
50¢
99¢
+49¢
James Talarico
YesNo
46.5¢
53.5¢
99¢
+45.5¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Divergence
The current market pricing exhibits an extreme logical fallacy. Dozens of candidates are priced around 40c for 'Yes'. This not only means the total probability vastly exceeds 100% (violating basic math), but also implies the market considers 'Hunter Biden', 'Kim Kardashian', or 'LeBron James' as likely to be VP as Gavin Newsom or Pete Buttigieg. This represents a complete detachment from mainstream consensus and political reality, indicating extremely poor liquidity or highly irrational limit orders.

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