All
Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
Venstre
YesNo
Green Left
YesNo
Social Democrats
YesNo
Moderates
YesNo
Citizens’ Party
YesNo
Liberal Alliance
YesNo
Inuit Ataqatigiit
YesNo
Danish People’s Party
YesNo
Conservative People’s Party
YesNo
Denmark Democrats
YesNo
Union Party
YesNo
The Alternative
YesNo
Naleraq
YesNo
Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands)
YesNo
Danish Social Liberal Party
YesNo
Red–Green Alliance
YesNo
AI Insights:
14 hours ago UpdatedFair Value Reasoning:
With only 5 days left until the March 24 election, the market is balancing highly contradictory polling data. While the Social Democrats are secure in 1st, the race for 3rd is tight. 1. Liberal Alliance (LA) remains the favorite (~44%) despite the Verian poll showing them slipping; other sources like Epinion still place them 3rd, and the price has stabilized after a sell-off. 2. Venstre (~32%) has the strongest momentum, supported by the favorable Verian poll. 3. Green Left (SF) has crashed to ~15%, reflecting the consensus that they will likely finish 2nd; they are a 'hedge' bet that only wins this market if they underperform significantly. The current pricing efficiently reflects a three-way battle with LA as the slight favorite.
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Movers
March 16, 2026 - March 18, 2026: The market entered a consolidation phase following high volatility. Liberal Alliance rebounded slightly (41.5c to 43.5c), while Venstre stabilized around 31c. Traders are digesting the recent polling shock, and capital flow is normalizing.
March 13, 2026 - March 16, 2026: Green Left crashed significantly from 40c to 14.5c, and Liberal Alliance plummeted from 64c to 41.5c. The primary driver was contradictory polling data: Voxmeter suggested Green Left would solidly take 2nd place (removing them from contention for this '3rd place' market), while Verian showed Venstre overtaking Liberal Alliance, directly fueling a surge in Venstre's price.
