Diddy released from custody in 2026?
Culture|$1,714 Vol|
time235 days 16 hrs

Diddy released from custody in 2026? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 2 hours ago
Top Undervalued
+8.5¢
(No)

Diddy released from custody in 2026? AI analysis: • +8.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest information, Sean 'Diddy' Combs was convicted on prostitution-related charge...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner
Politics|$148.6k Vol|
time20 days 22 hrs

B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+4.5¢
Caroline Elliott(No)
+3¢
Iain Black(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to recent reports, the BC Conservative leadership race has narrowed down to five official ...
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Movers
May 4, 2026 - May 7, 2026, Caroline Elliott's price surged from 48.5c to 63.5c, while Kerry-Lynne Findlay's price dropped from 31.8c to 18.15c. This was driven by Elliott securing heavyweight endorsements, including former Premier Gordon Campbell, and new polling establishing her lead. April 26, 2026 - April 29, 2026, the price of Kerry-Lynne Findlay surged from 10.5c to 27.5c, indicating major favorable campaign developments or significant capital inflow; concurrently, Caroline Elliott's price fell from 37.5c to 27c, showing her lead is being notably challenged. April 20, 2026 - April 22, 2026, the price of Caroline Elliott rebounded from 28.5c to 43.5c, and Peter Milobar's price fluctuated around 36.5c to 37.5c, indicating high volatility driven by campaign dynamics and market sentiment.
AI Analysis
Tom Lee charged by December 31?
Crypto|$57.2k Vol|
time236 days 21 hrs

Tom Lee charged by December 31?

Top Undervalued
+3.5¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With about 8 months (~244 days) remaining until the end of the year, civil litigation involving Tom ...
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Rule Risk
There is a significant risk of confusion between 'civil' and 'criminal' actions. The rules specify a 'criminal indictment,' but legal actions against financial figures often begin with SEC 'civil charges' or shareholder lawsuits (like those currently facing BMNR). If Lee faces only civil litigation, the market resolves 'No,' despite potential public misinterpretation. Additionally, 'Tom Lee' is a common name (e.g., the already-charged Sam Lee of HyperFund); while context implies the Fundstrat strategist, the lack of a unique identifier (DOB or specific role) creates resolution ambiguity.
Exotics
This is a highly personalized, tabloid-style market. While Tom Lee is a public figure, betting on his 'imprisonment/indictment' is an exotic financial prediction, likely driven by internet rumors (like the viral fake screenshot in Jan 2026) or extreme short-seller narratives rather than standard financial derivative logic.
Hedging
BMNR
ETH
This event has extremely high asset correlation. Tom Lee is the Chairman of BitMine Immersion Technologies (BMNR), a public company holding a massive amount of Ethereum (~3.5% of circulating supply). A criminal indictment would be a structural shock to BMNR stock (Score 5) and would likely trigger panic regarding the forced liquidation of its ETH holdings, significantly impacting ETH prices (Score 4). BTC would face primarily sentimental contagion.
AI Analysis
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
Trump|$1.2m Vol|
time5 days 16 hrs

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

Top Undervalued
+0.5¢
May 15(Yes)
+0.5¢
June 30(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With roughly 6 days remaining until the May 15 deadline, the price of the 'May 15' option remains hi...
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Hedging
Gold
DXY
S&P 500
US 10Y Yield
Kevin Warsh is generally perceived as more hawkish or possessing different monetary policy inclinations compared to the incumbent (Powell). His confirmation would signal a potential pivot in future Fed policy (e.g., a more aggressive stance on inflation or deregulation), directly impacting US 10Y Yields and the Dollar Index (DXY). For equities, a hawkish chair is typically bearish, though his deregulation stance could favor the banking sector. This event is significant enough to trigger a market repricing.
AI Analysis
New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner
Politics|$414.1k Vol|
time23 days 16 hrs

New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner

Top Undervalued
+1.5¢
Richard Tabor(No)
+0.5¢
Alex Zdan(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The market maintains a duopoly structure, with the race between Alex Zdan and Richard Tabor remainin...
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Rule Risk
The primary risk lies in the upcoming 'Filing Deadline'. With the deadline around March 23, 2026, and the current date being March 11, there is a 12-day window for new, unlisted candidates to enter the race. Notable figures like Alina Habba (recently blocked from a US Attorney role) or Vinnie Brand could officially file. If the winner is not one of the named options and the market lacks a tradable 'Field/Other Candidate' option (the rules only explicitly define 'Other' for a 'no primary' scenario), this creates significant resolution ambiguity and risk of a 'dark horse' victory.
AI Analysis
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?
Finance|$19.3k Vol|
time5 days 16 hrs

Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?

Top Undervalued
0¢
(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With less than 6 days remaining until the 13F filing disclosure deadline (May 15), the option price ...
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Exotics
This is a relatively niche financial market question. It focuses on specific regulatory filings (13F) and a specific asset (IBIT), rather than a mainstream event. While it involves Bitcoin, the specific conditions ($250M holding with >25% allocation dropping to <$10M) make it a highly specific scenario, bordering on a novelty financial prop bet.
Hedging
Bitcoin
IBIT
If this event resolves to 'Yes', it implies a massive liquidation by a whale holding significant amounts of IBIT (BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF). Such a sell-off (at least $240M in selling pressure) would likely cause notable volatility in Bitcoin spot prices and the ETF itself. This market serves as a potential hedge against whale capitulation risk.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
YesNo
13.55¢
86.45¢
95¢
+8.5¢
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

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