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Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
Riyadh Falcons
YesNo
G2 Minnesota
YesNo
Miami Heretics
YesNo
Paris Gentle Mates
YesNo
OpTic Texas
YesNo
FaZe Vegas
YesNo
Toronto KOI
YesNo
Cloud9 New York
YesNo
CAR Royal Ravens
YesNo
Boston Breach
YesNo
Vancouver Surge
YesNo
Los Angeles Thieves
YesNo
AI Insights:
03.15 08:33 UpdatedFair Value Reasoning:
While OpTic Texas is performing strongly (surging to 57c), a >50% win probability for a single team in the competitive CDL is statistically unreasonable. FaZe Vegas, a traditional powerhouse, is significantly undervalued at 14.5c. The market has just undergone a massive correction (from a total price of 465c to 138c), but OpTic's current price reflects excessive 'fan premium' and FOMO. Fair value suggests a more balanced tier distribution.
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Movers
March 13, 2026 - March 14, 2026, OpTic Texas skyrocketed from 34.5c to 57.5c, while mid-tier contenders like FaZe Vegas (dropped 11c), G2 Minnesota (dropped 11.5c), and Riyadh Falcons (dropped 14c) crashed. The reason is a violent market correction from a previously irrational state (Total Price > 400%); liquidity fled from overpriced mid-tier teams and consolidated excessively into the favorite, OpTic, causing a siphon-like price surge.
Divergence
The market implied probability gives OpTic Texas a 57.5% chance of winning, which strongly diverges from historical competitiveness in the CDL. Typically, even dominant teams (like prime FaZe) rarely exceed 35-40% pre-tournament odds. The market is clearly heavily influenced by fan base size and recency bias from qualifiers.
