All
Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
Gianluigi Donnarumma
YesNo
David Raya
YesNo
Nick Pope
YesNo
Robert Sánchez
YesNo
Jordan Pickford
YesNo
Dean Henderson
YesNo
AI Insights:
03.11 05:35 UpdatedFair Value Reasoning:
As of March 11, 2026, David Raya's price has stabilized around 88c, reflecting his commanding lead in the clean sheet race. With only about 10 matchweeks remaining (74 days) and Arsenal's defensive structure remaining solid, the probability of a challenger overturning the deficit is minimal. Although Donnarumma holds the tiebreaker advantage (Surname D < R), his price crash from 25c to 11.5c between Mar 5-8 strongly suggests a detrimental result in the recent game week (e.g., he conceded while Raya kept a clean sheet), widening the gap. Thus, Raya's fair value consolidates at ~89c, leaving Donnarumma with only a theoretical hope.
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Movers
Mar 5, 2026 - Mar 8, 2026, Gianluigi Donnarumma's price plummeted from ~23.5c to 11.5c. This was driven by decisive results during the weekend fixtures (likely Donnarumma conceding or Raya keeping a clean sheet), making the gap nearly insurmountable this late in the season, causing market confidence to collapse.
Feb 10, 2026 - Feb 11, 2026, David Raya's price moved from 84.5c to 90c, driven by further market solidification of his lead.