FL-07 House Election Winner
Politics|$980 Vol|
time224 days 14 hrs

FL-07 House Election Winner - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 03.22 22:26
Top Undervalued
+4.5¢
Republican Party(Yes)
+2¢
Democratic Party(No)

FL-07 House Election Winner AI analysis: • +4.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Although incumbent Republican Cory Mills faces severe ethics investigations (dating violence, campai...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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IL-06 House Election Winner
Politics|$10.8k Vol|
time224 days 14 hrs

IL-06 House Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+1.9¢
Democratic Party(Yes)
+1.9¢
Republican Party(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Although IL-06 is technically a D+3 swing district, the macro environment of the 2026 midterms (assu...
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AI Analysis
Trump approval rating on March 27?
Trump|$12.0k Vol|
time4 days 14 hrs

Trump approval rating on March 27?

Top Undervalued
+1.5¢
42.0+(No)
+1.3¢
41.5–41.9(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The market has completed its correction from an irrational exuberance (sum >200%) to a reasonable le...
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Movers
March 22, 2026 - March 23, 2026, the price of the '<40.0' option dipped from 33.5c to 22.5c before quickly recovering to 27.5c. This was due to capital jockeying and fine-tuning in adjacent ranges after the market anchored on 40.0%-40.4% as the pivot. March 20, 2026 - March 22, 2026, the price of '41.0–41.4' crashed from 40.5c to 3c, and '41.5–41.9' fell from 40c to 1.35c. This was caused by a drastic market correction of previous mispricing (sums >200%), confirming the approval trend has fallen below 41%. March 20, 2026 - March 22, 2026, the '40.0–40.4' option dropped from 40c to 22c before rebounding strongly to 39.5c, establishing itself as the most probable fair value interval.
AI Analysis
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 11, 2026?
Science|$13.1k Vol|
time3 days 14 hrs

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 11, 2026?

Top Undervalued
+2.1¢
70–80(No)
+1.7¢
80–90(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
While previous analysis stated the 'Week 11 report' was released, CDC schedules confirm the March 20...
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Exotics
This is a relatively specialized public health data market. While the flu season is common knowledge, the general public rarely tracks the specific 'cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000'. It qualifies as a niche market, appealing mostly to data geeks or public health observers rather than the general public.
AI Analysis
What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?
Culture|$11.5k Vol|
time14 hrs 30 mins

What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Top Undervalued
+1.8¢
Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man(Yes)
+1.2¢
Jigsaw(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Peaky Blinders premiered on March 20. Despite a short 3-day window, as a finale film for a massive g...
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Movers
March 23, 2026 (06:25 - 09:24 UTC), Peaky Blinders corrected sharply from 95c to 80c, while War Machine rebounded from 4.5c to 16.6c. This volatility suggests a late market reassessment; traders likely realized that War Machine's massive Week 2 base (39.3M views) creates a legitimate threat. If its decay is lower than average (<40%), its Week 3 numbers could rival Peaky's debut. March 20 - March 22, 2026, Peaky Blinders rallied from 70c to 95c as the market traded on a simplified 'New Release beats Old' logic, temporarily overlooking the exceptional holding power of War Machine as a viral blockbuster.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Chicago on March 23?
Weather|$61.5k Vol|
time2 hrs 30 mins

Highest temperature in Chicago on March 23?

Top Undervalued
+7¢
42-43°F(No)
+6¢
40-41°F(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As of the early morning of March 23, 2026 (Local Time), the latest meteorological data has narrowed ...
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Exotics
Forecasting the temperature for a specific date is somewhat niche for the general public, appealing mostly to weather geeks or locals, but it's not as bizarre as aliens or religious topics. It is a niche but rational scientific prediction.
Movers
March 22, 2026 - March 23, 2026, the price of '42-43°F' surged from ~25c to 37.5c, while '40-41°F' peaked at 34.5c before retracing to 29c. This movement was driven by the convergence of major weather models (NWS, ECMWF) leading into the event date, narrowing the consensus to 41-42°F. The resolution source Wunderground's specific forecast of 42°F particularly fueled the rally in the '42-43°F' band. March 19, 2026 - March 21, 2026, the price of '38-39°F' crashed from 25c to a low of 2c (recovering slightly to 8c), and '54°F or higher' collapsed from 25.5c to near zero. Reason: Forecasts effectively ruled out both extreme cold and extreme warmth, confirming a moderate outcome in the 40s for Monday, causing a mass exodus of capital from the outlier options.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
Republican Party
YesNo
77.5¢
22.5¢
82¢
18¢
+4.5¢
Democratic Party
YesNo
20¢
80¢
18¢
82¢
+2¢
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

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