[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest polling or party endorsement news for the 2026 Guam Gubernatorial race, visit the Polymarket page to analyze the bid-ask depth of the $7k trading volume, and determine if the current odds for Josh Tenorio or Therese Terlaje reflect genuine local sentiment or merely illiquid speculation.

AI-powered analysis for: [Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest polling or party endorsement news for the 2026 Guam Gubernatorial race, visit the Polymarket page to analyze the bid-ask depth of the $7k trading volume, and determine if the current odds for Josh Tenorio or Therese Terlaje reflect genuine local sentiment or merely illiquid speculation.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Category 1] Key Players Mining: Search local media outlets like 'Pacific Daily News' or 'Guam Daily Post' to verify the political status of the three options (San Agustin, Tenorio, Terlaje)—specifically, has current Lt. Governor Josh Tenorio been confirmed as the administration's 'heir apparent', and does Speaker Therese Terlaje face any legal or health barriers to running?

AI-powered analysis for: [Category 1] Key Players Mining: Search local media outlets like 'Pacific Daily News' or 'Guam Daily Post' to verify the political status of the three options (San Agustin, Tenorio, Terlaje)—specifically, has current Lt. Governor Josh Tenorio been confirmed as the administration's 'heir apparent', and does Speaker Therese Terlaje face any legal or health barriers to running?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Category 3] Opportunity Cost of Capital: Given that this event resolves on August 1, 2026 (implying a long capital lock-up), calculate the opportunity cost compared to the risk-free yield of stablecoins in DeFi protocols (e.g., 4-5% APY). Does the potential ROI on the current favorite candidates offer enough premium to justify locking up funds for two years?

AI-powered analysis for: [Category 3] Opportunity Cost of Capital: Given that this event resolves on August 1, 2026 (implying a long capital lock-up), calculate the opportunity cost compared to the risk-free yield of stablecoins in DeFi protocols (e.g., 4-5% APY). Does the potential ROI on the current favorite candidates offer enough premium to justify locking up funds for two years?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Guam Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Politics|$17.0k Vol|

90 days 0 hrs

Guam Governor Democratic Primary Winner - AI Found +12.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.29 12:04

Top Undervalued

+12.5¢

Therese Terlaje(No)

+7¢

Josh Tenorio(Yes)

+2¢

Joe S. San Agustin(Yes)

Guam Governor Democratic Primary Winner AI analysis: • +12.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

The race has seen significant shifts in the past few days. Former frontrunner Josh Tenorio experienc...

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All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

Therese Terlaje

YesNo

57.5¢

42.5¢

45¢

55¢

0¢

+12.5¢

Josh Tenorio

YesNo

35¢

65¢

42¢

58¢

+7¢

0¢

Expand to view all 3 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Movers

April 27, 2026 - April 28, 2026, Therese Terlaje's price dropped from 58.5c to 45c, while Joe S. San Agustin's price surged from 4.7c to 14.9c. The reason is a shift in recent campaign dynamics or party endorsements, where San Agustin successfully captured swing voters, eroding Terlaje's lead and pulling the race back into a tighter three-way contest. April 9, 2026 - April 11, 2026, Joe S. San Agustin's price dropped from 14c to 3c, as market expectations of his campaign's viability faded, with funds consolidating toward the frontrunners. March 25, 2026 - March 28, 2026, Josh Tenorio's price surged from 24.5c to 54c, while Therese Terlaje's price plummeted from 40.5c to 30c before slightly rebounding. The reason is that Tenorio likely weathered the earlier scandal crisis and consolidated party support, or Terlaje's intention to run/win probability significantly decreased, causing the market to re-evaluate the matchup. March 12, 2026 - March 13, 2026, Josh Tenorio's price spiked from 9.5c to 25c, before settling back to 19.5c. The reason is a market correction following a massive sell-off due to a family fraud scandal (PUA Scandal) and expected challenger entries, reflecting confirmation that he remains on the ballot.