Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Culture|$4.8m Vol|
time242 days 0 hrs

Highest grossing movie in 2026? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 05.01 19:50
Top Undervalued
+0.9¢
Michael(Yes)
+0.7¢
Toy Story 5(No)
+0.5¢
Spider-Man: Brand New Day(Yes)

Highest grossing movie in 2026? AI analysis: • +0.9¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
1. **Spider-Man Extends Lead**: Spider-Man's price has climbed near 68c, reinforcing the market cons...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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Highest temperature in Seoul on May 3?
Weather|$108.7k Vol|
time12 hrs 52 mins

Highest temperature in Seoul on May 3?

Top Undervalued
+3.6¢
17°C(Yes)
+1.5¢
14°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
It is already the morning of May 3 in Seoul (Incheon Intl Airport), and current conditions involve r...
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Rule Risk
The market title asks for 'Seoul', but the rules explicitly state that resolution relies on the 'Incheon Intl Airport Station (RKSI)'. The airport is coastal and can have a significant temperature difference from downtown Seoul, posing a severe geographic trap for unwary traders. Additionally, it strictly relies on unrevised integer data from Wunderground.
Movers
May 1, 2026 - May 2, 2026: The price of the 15°C option surged from 25.5c to 41.5c, and the 14°C option rose from 14.5c to 21.5c. This occurred because as the expiration date approached, updated weather forecasts strongly confirmed rainy conditions, concentrating the predicted temperature in the 14-16°C range. April 29, 2026 - May 1, 2026: No price movement exceeding 10 cents was observed, indicating that the market pricing for all options remained relatively stable.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 3?
Weather|$13.6k Vol|
time12 hrs 52 mins

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 3?

Top Undervalued
+19¢
17°C(Yes)
+15¢
18°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature for Buenos Aires Ezeiza airport on M...
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Exotics
Predicting the exact highest temperature in a specific city on a given day to a precise whole degree is a relatively niche betting topic. While weather markets exist, it is not a mainstream event that the general public quantifies and closely monitors daily.
Divergence
Mainstream weather forecasts indicate that the highest temperature on May 3 will most likely be around 17°C, yet the market currently assigns the highest probability to 18°C (priced at 34.5c). This slight divergence may stem from traders relying on specific meteorological models that predict slight warming, or hedging against occasional unseasonable heat during the Argentine autumn.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 3?
Weather|$17.7k Vol|
time12 hrs 52 mins

Highest temperature in Seattle on May 3?

Top Undervalued
+37¢
80°F or higher(No)
+13.5¢
76-77°F(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature in Seattle (KSEA) on May 3, 2026, is exp...
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Exotics
Predicting the exact high temperature on a specific day in a specific city is somewhat niche and not something the general public actively thinks about, though it is a relatively common topic in prediction markets or weather derivatives.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
Michael
YesNo
1.05¢
98.95¢
98¢
+0.9¢
Toy Story 5
YesNo
3.75¢
96.25¢
97¢
+0.7¢

Expand to view all 14 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
Apr 28 - May 1, 2026, Spider-Man: Brand New Day surged from 56c to 67.5c, driven by capital further draining from competitors (like Avengers) and consolidating into this project, as the market strongly believes it will claim the top domestic calendar gross for 2026. Apr 27 - Apr 30, 2026, no single option moved more than 10c. The market remains highly stable, with Spider-Man slightly rising to 66c and Avengers slightly dropping to 20.5c, as capital makes minor rebalances between the two Marvel giants. Apr 26 - Apr 29, 2026, no single option moved more than 10c. The market remains highly stable, with Spider-Man slightly rising to 65.5c and Avengers slightly dropping to 22.5c, as capital makes minor rebalances between the two Marvel giants. Apr 25 - Apr 28, 2026, no single option moved more than 10c. The market remains highly stable, with Spider-Man slightly dropping to 56c and Avengers slightly rising to 27.5c, as capital makes minor rebalances between the two Marvel giants. Apr 24 - Apr 27, 2026, no single option moved more than 10c. The market landscape remains highly stable, with capital reaching a steady equilibrium between Spider-Man (~63c) and Avengers (~24c), while tail options show no momentum. Apr 23 - Apr 26, 2026, no single option moved more than 10c. The market landscape remains highly stable, with capital reaching a steady equilibrium between Spider-Man (~63c) and Avengers (~24.5c), while tail options show no momentum. Apr 22 - Apr 25, 2026, no single option moved more than 10c. The market landscape remains highly stable, with capital reaching a steady equilibrium between Spider-Man (~63c) and Avengers (~24.5c), while tail options show no momentum. Apr 21 - Apr 24, 2026, no single option moved more than 10c. The market continued to favor Spider-Man, with other options gradually declining or staying low as capital further concentrated at the top. Apr 19 - Apr 22, 2026, Spider-Man: Brand New Day surged from 52c to 64.5c. Bettors have made a definitive choice between the two Marvel giants, confirming Spider-Man's absolute dominance in calendar-year box office expectations, leading to capital flowing in from other competitors. Apr 18 - Apr 21, 2026, no single option moved more than 10c. The market showed mild capital reallocation, with Spider-Man steadily climbing from 49c to 56.5c, while Avengers fluctuated between 20c and 26.5c, and Mario dropped to 4.5c, indicating capital consolidating around Spider-Man within the Marvel bracket and waning confidence in family IPs. Apr 17 - Apr 20, 2026, no single option moved more than 10c. The market showed mild capital reallocation, with Spider-Man steadily climbing from 49c to 55.5c, while Avengers retreated from 26.5c to 20c, indicating capital consolidating around Spider-Man within the Marvel bracket. Apr 16 - Apr 19, 2026, no single option moved more than 10c. The market remains highly stable; Spider-Man briefly tested 51.5c before settling at 52c, while Mario hovers around 7c. Apr 15 - Apr 18, 2026, no single option moved more than 10c. The market remains highly stable; Spider-Man briefly tested 51.5c before settling at 49c, while Mario slowly slid to 6.5c. Apr 14 - Apr 17, 2026, no single option moved more than 10c. The market remains highly stable, with Spider-Man gradually breaking the 50c mark to further establish its lead. Apr 13 - Apr 16, 2026, no single option moved more than 10c. The market remains highly stable with minor capital adjustments among the top options, as Spider-Man ticked up to 46.5c. Apr 5 - Apr 7, 2026, 'Avengers: Doomsday' plunged from 33.5c to 23.5c, due to a rational market correction following the brief hype, as bettors reassessed its box office conversion rate within a single calendar year. Apr 3 - Apr 5, 2026, 'Avengers: Doomsday' surged from 12.5c to 33.5c, while 'The Super Mario Galaxy Movie' plunged from 26.5c to 13.5c, as the market further validated the massive box office potential of the Avengers release, causing capital flight from Mario towards the Marvel juggernaut.

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