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Last updated: 29 minutes ago
Top Undervalued
+2.5¢
15°C(No)
+1¢
13°C(No)
+0.9¢
17°C(No)
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 18? AI analysis: • +2.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.
Undervalued Options Insights:
The latest weather forecasts anticipate a high temperature between 57°F and 60°F (approx. 13.9°C to ...
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Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
15°C
YesNo
22.5¢
77.5¢
20¢
80¢
0¢
+2.5¢
13°C
YesNo
21¢
79¢
20¢
80¢
0¢
+1¢
Expand to view all 11 options
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
Forecasting the exact high temperature of a specific city on a random day is a niche and typical novelty prediction market. While weather forecasting is a standard scientific endeavor, retail betting on a single-day, single-city temperature rounded to a whole degree introduces a quirky and slightly random dynamic.
Movers
April 16, 2026 - April 17, 2026: The price of the 14°C option surged from 25c to 46c, while the 15°C option dropped from 31c to 20c. This occurred because, as the resolution date approached, weather models gained consensus and slightly downgraded the expected peak temperature closer to 57°F, cementing 14°C as the most likely outcome.