Highest temperature in Atlanta on April 10?
Weather|$10.3k Vol|
time1 days 14 hrs

Highest temperature in Atlanta on April 10? - AI Found +13.9¢ Mispricing

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Last updated: 04.07 14:35
Top Undervalued
+13.9¢
78-79°F(No)
+6.7¢
82-83°F(Yes)
+6¢
74-75°F(Yes)

Highest temperature in Atlanta on April 10? AI analysis: • +13.9¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
With less than 3 days until the April 10 settlement, weather forecast models (such as GFS and ECMWF)...
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Will fomo.family launch a token by ___ ?
Crypto|$636.2k Vol|
time267 days 7 hrs

Will fomo.family launch a token by ___ ?

Top Undervalued
+7.5¢
December 31, 2026(Yes)
+2¢
September 30, 2026(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Fomo.family closed its $17M Benchmark-led Series A in late 2025. For top-tier VC-backed consumer cry...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Exotics
Fomo.family is a niche project within the crypto space (a social/identity app likely on Base), unknown to the general public but recognized by specific on-chain communities. Compared to major coins or elections, it is a moderately exotic topic.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 11?
Weather|$19.8k Vol|
time2 days 14 hrs

Highest temperature in Chicago on April 11?

Top Undervalued
+0.4¢
46°F or higher(Yes)
+0.3¢
42-43°F(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on multiple recent weather forecasts, the high temperature in Chicago (O'Hare) on April 11, 20...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Exotics
This is a typical weather prediction market. While people check daily forecasts regularly, predicting the exact highest temperature at a specific station (narrowed down to 2-degree brackets across numerous options) goes beyond general public interest. It functions more like a niche weather derivative, giving it a moderate level of novelty.
Movers
On April 7, 2026, the prices of the '42-43°F' and '44-45°F' options plummeted from 14c and 15.5c respectively to near 0c. This was because approaching weather forecasts provided higher certainty that the maximum temperature would well exceed 46°F, ruling out lower temperature brackets. No other significant price movements exceeding 10 cents were observed over the past 3 days.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 11?
Weather|$11.9k Vol|
time2 days 14 hrs

Highest temperature in Seoul on April 11?

Top Undervalued
+10¢
13°C(No)
+9.5¢
16°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Latest weather forecasts indicate that the high temperature at Incheon Airport on April 11 is expect...
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Rule Risk
The title specifically mentions 'Seoul', but the resolution rules explicitly state that data from the Incheon International Airport station (RKSI) will be used. Incheon is a coastal city and often has a different temperature profile compared to inland Seoul. This constitutes a significant trap for traders relying solely on the title.
Exotics
While weather derivatives are common in professional finance and agriculture, betting on the exact highest temperature of a specific location on a single day is a novelty, niche, and somewhat recreational topic in retail prediction markets.
Movers
April 7, 2026 - April 7, 2026, the price of '17°C or higher' plunged from 38c to 12c, as updated meteorological forecasts adjusted expectations, placing the peak daytime temperature more firmly in the 15-16°C range and significantly reducing the likelihood of extreme high temperatures.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Paris on April 11?
Weather|$11.5k Vol|
time2 days 14 hrs

Highest temperature in Paris on April 11?

Top Undervalued
+2¢
19°C(No)
+1.4¢
21°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As we get closer to April 11, meteorological forecasts become highly accurate. Latest models indicat...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Exotics
Predicting the exact daily high temperature for a specific city is somewhat niche. While daily weather forecasts are common, using them as a quantified prediction market target adds a level of novelty.
Movers
April 7, 2026 - April 8, 2026, the price of '18°C or below' surged from 37.5c to 74.5c, while '19°C' and '20°C' dropped significantly from 33.5c and 20.5c respectively. This was driven by short-term weather model updates confirming a cooler air mass over the Paris region.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
78-79°F
YesNo
31.9¢
68.1¢
18¢
82¢
+13.9¢
82-83°F
YesNo
3.35¢
96.65¢
10¢
90¢
+6.7¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
While weather prediction markets exist on specialized platforms (e.g., Kalshi), betting on highly specific temperature ranges for a single city on an arbitrary day remains a relatively niche and trivial topic for the broader public.
Movers
April 6, 2026 - April 7, 2026, the Yes price for 72-73°F plummeted from 28c to 10.5c, and 70-71°F dropped from 25.5c to 4.5c. This was caused by major weather services updating their forecasting models as the date approaches, effectively ruling out the likelihood of lower high temperatures in Atlanta. April 6, 2026 - April 7, 2026, higher temperature brackets like 78-79°F and 82-83°F experienced drastic price swings of over 15c (e.g., 78-79°F dropped from 21.5c to 2.5c before rebounding to 18c). The reason is that diverging meteorological models disagreed on the exact timing of an incoming pressure system, causing rapid shifts in market expectations within a few hours.

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