AI Signal Dashboard
Last updated: 04.07 14:35
Top Undervalued
+13.9¢
78-79°F(No)
+6.7¢
82-83°F(Yes)
+6¢
74-75°F(Yes)
Highest temperature in Atlanta on April 10? AI analysis: • +13.9¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.
Undervalued Options Insights:
With less than 3 days until the April 10 settlement, weather forecast models (such as GFS and ECMWF)...
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Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
78-79°F
YesNo
31.9¢
68.1¢
18¢
82¢
0¢
+13.9¢
82-83°F
YesNo
3.35¢
96.65¢
10¢
90¢
+6.7¢
0¢
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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
While weather prediction markets exist on specialized platforms (e.g., Kalshi), betting on highly specific temperature ranges for a single city on an arbitrary day remains a relatively niche and trivial topic for the broader public.
Movers
April 6, 2026 - April 7, 2026, the Yes price for 72-73°F plummeted from 28c to 10.5c, and 70-71°F dropped from 25.5c to 4.5c. This was caused by major weather services updating their forecasting models as the date approaches, effectively ruling out the likelihood of lower high temperatures in Atlanta.
April 6, 2026 - April 7, 2026, higher temperature brackets like 78-79°F and 82-83°F experienced drastic price swings of over 15c (e.g., 78-79°F dropped from 21.5c to 2.5c before rebounding to 18c). The reason is that diverging meteorological models disagreed on the exact timing of an incoming pressure system, causing rapid shifts in market expectations within a few hours.