Highest temperature in Beijing on April 1?
Weather|$10.5k Vol|
time1 days 15 hrs

Highest temperature in Beijing on April 1? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 03.29 22:05
Top Undervalued
+8.5¢
18°C(No)
+8¢
17°C(No)
+4.3¢
12°C or below(Yes)

Highest temperature in Beijing on April 1? AI analysis: • +8.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Current meteorological models forecast temperatures fluctuating between 16°C and 20°C. With only 2 d...
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Will any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?
Geopolitics|$44.6k Vol|
time3 hrs 23 mins

Will any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?

Top Undervalued
+0.2¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With less than 4 hours remaining until market settlement, there is no news or official statement ind...
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AI Analysis
Nothing Ever Happens: Ilhan Omar
Politics|$17.9k Vol|
time3 hrs 23 mins

Nothing Ever Happens: Ilhan Omar

Top Undervalued
+0.7¢
(Something)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As of March 30, 2026, only hours remain until the market's expiration. There is no breaking news, cr...
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Exotics
This is a typical niche 'Nothing Ever Happens' market focusing on extreme negative outcomes for a specific politician (e.g., staging attacks or federal crimes). Most people do not routinely forecast such specific dramatic downfalls, placing this firmly in the category of conspiracy-adjacent or highly specific political gossip markets.
AI Analysis
Another GTA VI trailer released by March 31?
Culture|$17.7k Vol|
time3 hrs 23 mins

Another GTA VI trailer released by March 31?

Top Undervalued
+0.6¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With just over 3 hours left until the March 31 deadline and absolutely no official teasers or signs ...
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Hedging
TTWO
Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) is the parent company of Rockstar Games. The release of an official GTA VI trailer typically triggers significant stock price movement as it directly correlates with future revenue expectations and the release timeline. A trailer drop is a major fundamental catalyst, creating a very high correlation with TTWO stock.
Movers
2026-03-28 - 2026-03-30, Option_'Yes' price fell from 1.95c to 0.6c. Reason: As the deadline approached, the market further confirmed the fundamental reality of 'no trailer', leading to a complete liquidation of residual speculative positions. 2026-03-25 - 2026-03-27, Option_'Yes' price crashed from 13.9c to 2.1c. Reason: A brief speculative pump driven by unsubstantiated rumors quickly evaporated as the deadline approached with continued silence from Rockstar, forcing the market to price in the fundamental reality of no trailer. 2026-03-03 - 2026-03-07, Option_'Yes' crashed from 20c to 3.5c. Reason: Rumors regarding PlayStation Store backend ID updates failed to materialize into an actual trailer launch, leading the market to price in the 'no trailer before Summer' guidance and triggering a sell-off of speculative positions.
AI Analysis
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Tech|$398.7k Vol|
time275 days 3 hrs

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Top Undervalued
+5¢
(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Option_'Yes' is currently oscillating around 71c as the market consolidates after digesting previous...
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Exotics
This is a somewhat speculative but widely discussed topic. Discussions about Elon Musk becoming the first trillionaire are common in financial media, so it's not entirely obscure, but predicting the specific 2027 timeframe adds an element of novelty and uncertainty.
Hedging
TSLA
Musk's net worth is primarily derived from Tesla (TSLA) stock and SpaceX equity. To reach $1 trillion, TSLA stock would likely need to undergo a massive rally (potentially doubling or more, depending on SpaceX's valuation growth). Therefore, a 'Yes' outcome in this market implicitly forecasts a massive bull run for TSLA. While SpaceX is private, news of its funding rounds (potential insider info) is a key driver. DOGE, as a correlated meme asset, would also see sentiment-driven impact.
AI Analysis
Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of April 4
Culture|$269.3k Vol|
time3 hrs 23 mins

Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of April 4

Top Undervalued
0¢
Ordinary - Alex Warren(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest market data and the close of the tracking week (last Thursday night), the Yes pr...
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Movers
Mar 27, 2026 - Mar 30, 2026: The price of 'SWIM - BTS' climbed steadily from 87.5c to 99.3c. With the tracking week concluded and early predictions out, its #1 debut is practically confirmed. Mar 28, 2026 - Mar 29, 2026: The price of 'SWIM - BTS' climbed further from 94c to 99c. As the tracking week ended, its overwhelming data advantage convinced the market of its #1 debut. Mar 25, 2026 - Mar 27, 2026: The price of 'SWIM - BTS' continuously surged from 32c to 88c, driven by overwhelming data from highly organized fan campaigns following the release of their new single, virtually solidifying market expectations for a #1 debut. Mar 24, 2026 - Mar 26, 2026: The price of 'Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley' crashed from 91c to 8c as BTS's strong entry shattered expectations of its continued reign, leading to rapid capital outflow. Mar 23, 2026 - Mar 24, 2026: Multiple non-contender options, including 'Man I Need', 'I Just Might', and 'Ordinary', collectively collapsed from ~49c to 1-2c. This was a market correction of a severely inefficient state where total probabilities exceeded 300%.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
18°C
YesNo
28.5¢
71.5¢
20¢
80¢
+8.5¢
17°C
YesNo
23¢
77¢
15¢
85¢
+8¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
From 19:30 to 21:40 on March 29, 2026, the price of '19°C' swung violently from 28c to 14c and back to 25c, due to meteorological models constantly adjusting peak temperature forecasts amid competing cold and warm advection. From 19:30 to 20:35 on March 29, 2026, the price of '12°C or below' plummeted from 25c to 8c as the possibility of an extreme cold front was largely ruled out by updated forecasts.

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