Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 17? - AI Mispricing Alert

Weather|$12.9k Vol|

6 hrs 28 mins

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 17? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 05.16 21:55

Top Undervalued

+7¢

14°C(No)

+4¢

15°C(Yes)

+1.4¢

17°C(Yes)

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 17? AI analysis: • +7¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

Current time is May 16, 2026, 21:55 UTC (18:55 local time in Argentina). The forecast for tomorrow's...

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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

Politics|$27.2k Vol|

New Mexico Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Top Undervalued

Sam Bregman(Yes)

Deb Haaland(No)

Undervalued Options Insights:

Deb Haaland maintains a significant advantage. Ken Miyagishima has dropped out of the Democratic pri...

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[General] Potential Catalyst Prediction (Filing Deadline): Confirm the specific candidate filing deadline for the 2026 New Mexico Primary (typically in March). As a sitting Cabinet member, has Deb Haaland filed candidacy papers or resigned? If the deadline is approaching within the next 48 hours to a week and she has not acted, could this timeline serve as the core catalyst for extreme price volatility?

[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest information, visit the Polymarket page for the "New Mexico Governor Democratic Primary Winner" event to analyze the Order Book depth, focusing on whether there is buy support matching Interior Secretary Deb Haaland's high profile, and update the assessment of fair value and drawdown risks based on the latest rumors regarding her official candidacy announcement.

[General] Potential Catalyst Prediction (Filing Deadline): Confirm the specific candidate filing deadline for the 2026 New Mexico Primary (typically in March). As a sitting Cabinet member, has Deb Haaland filed candidacy papers or resigned? If the deadline is approaching within the next 48 hours to a week and she has not acted, could this timeline serve as the core catalyst for extreme price volatility?

[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest information, visit the Polymarket page for the "New Mexico Governor Democratic Primary Winner" event to analyze the Order Book depth, focusing on whether there is buy support matching Interior Secretary Deb Haaland's high profile, and update the assessment of fair value and drawdown risks based on the latest rumors regarding her official candidacy announcement.

Weather|$19.5k Vol|

Highest temperature in Dallas on May 17?

Top Undervalued

92°F or higher(No)

Undervalued Options Insights:

Based on the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature for Dallas (KDAL) on May 17 is expected ...

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Betting on a single day's high temperature in a specific city is somewhat common among heavy prediction market users, but to the general public, it is a highly trivial, specific, and niche topic, giving it a moderate novelty factor.

May 15, 2026 - May 16, 2026, the price of '92°F or higher' dropped sharply from 18c to 6.5c. The reason is that as the target date approaches, short-term weather models have ruled out the possibility of extreme heat, stabilizing the expected high temperature below 89°F. May 13, 2026 - May 15, 2026, market prices adjusted gradually in line with standard weather forecast updates without any single option moving by more than 10 cents.

How quickly does Wunderground finalize the daily high temperature data for the Dallas Love Field Station (KDAL), and is there any risk of delayed updates affecting the May 17 market resolution?

Politics|$30.3k Vol|

111 days 18 hrs

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Top Undervalued

Undervalued Options Insights:

Recent polls from May 2026 show the AfD at a record 41% in Saxony-Anhalt. With several parties like ...

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What exactly qualifies as an 'absolute majority' for the AfD in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, and what happens if the official results are delayed past January 2027?

Elections|$10.2k Vol|

139 days 18 hrs

Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Top Undervalued

Denis Bećirović(No)

Semir Efendić(Yes)

Undervalued Options Insights:

Denis Bećirović is the incumbent Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina, represe...

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This is a standard political election prediction market. However, the tripartite presidency system in Bosnia and Herzegovina is relatively niche and obscure for a global audience.

Compare the latest authoritative local polling data in Bosnia and Herzegovina for candidates Semir Efendić and Denis Bećirović with the current odds discrepancies on Polymarket.

Sports|$4.3m Vol|

UEFA Europa League Winner

Top Undervalued

Undervalued Options Insights:

Aston Villa and Freiburg are the finalists for the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League. Aston Villa's squad d...

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[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Access the Polymarket page for 'UEFA Europa League Winner 2025–26' to analyze the order book depth and bid-ask spreads for top contenders like Roma or Aston Villa, and re-evaluate fair value and risk based on the latest knockout stage progression and team injury news.

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

14°C

YesNo

42¢

58¢

35¢

65¢

0¢

+7¢

15°C

YesNo

24¢

76¢

28¢

72¢

+4¢

0¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Exotics

While weather forecasting is a standard practice and weather derivatives exist in institutional finance, betting on the exact daily high temperature of a specific South American city in a retail prediction market is relatively niche and novel.

Real-time High Yield Opportunities

Politics|$27.2k Vol|

New Mexico Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Top Undervalued

Sam Bregman(Yes)

Deb Haaland(No)

Undervalued Options Insights:

Deb Haaland maintains a significant advantage. Ken Miyagishima has dropped out of the Democratic pri...

🔓 Log in to see more

[General] Potential Catalyst Prediction (Filing Deadline): Confirm the specific candidate filing deadline for the 2026 New Mexico Primary (typically in March). As a sitting Cabinet member, has Deb Haaland filed candidacy papers or resigned? If the deadline is approaching within the next 48 hours to a week and she has not acted, could this timeline serve as the core catalyst for extreme price volatility?

[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest information, visit the Polymarket page for the "New Mexico Governor Democratic Primary Winner" event to analyze the Order Book depth, focusing on whether there is buy support matching Interior Secretary Deb Haaland's high profile, and update the assessment of fair value and drawdown risks based on the latest rumors regarding her official candidacy announcement.

[General] Potential Catalyst Prediction (Filing Deadline): Confirm the specific candidate filing deadline for the 2026 New Mexico Primary (typically in March). As a sitting Cabinet member, has Deb Haaland filed candidacy papers or resigned? If the deadline is approaching within the next 48 hours to a week and she has not acted, could this timeline serve as the core catalyst for extreme price volatility?

[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest information, visit the Polymarket page for the "New Mexico Governor Democratic Primary Winner" event to analyze the Order Book depth, focusing on whether there is buy support matching Interior Secretary Deb Haaland's high profile, and update the assessment of fair value and drawdown risks based on the latest rumors regarding her official candidacy announcement.

Weather|$19.5k Vol|

Highest temperature in Dallas on May 17?

Top Undervalued

92°F or higher(No)

Undervalued Options Insights:

Based on the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature for Dallas (KDAL) on May 17 is expected ...

🔓 Log in to see more

Betting on a single day's high temperature in a specific city is somewhat common among heavy prediction market users, but to the general public, it is a highly trivial, specific, and niche topic, giving it a moderate novelty factor.

May 15, 2026 - May 16, 2026, the price of '92°F or higher' dropped sharply from 18c to 6.5c. The reason is that as the target date approaches, short-term weather models have ruled out the possibility of extreme heat, stabilizing the expected high temperature below 89°F. May 13, 2026 - May 15, 2026, market prices adjusted gradually in line with standard weather forecast updates without any single option moving by more than 10 cents.

How quickly does Wunderground finalize the daily high temperature data for the Dallas Love Field Station (KDAL), and is there any risk of delayed updates affecting the May 17 market resolution?

Politics|$30.3k Vol|

111 days 18 hrs

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Top Undervalued

Undervalued Options Insights:

Recent polls from May 2026 show the AfD at a record 41% in Saxony-Anhalt. With several parties like ...

🔓 Log in to see more

What exactly qualifies as an 'absolute majority' for the AfD in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, and what happens if the official results are delayed past January 2027?

Elections|$10.2k Vol|

139 days 18 hrs

Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Top Undervalued

Denis Bećirović(No)

Semir Efendić(Yes)

Undervalued Options Insights:

Denis Bećirović is the incumbent Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina, represe...

🔓 Log in to see more

This is a standard political election prediction market. However, the tripartite presidency system in Bosnia and Herzegovina is relatively niche and obscure for a global audience.

Compare the latest authoritative local polling data in Bosnia and Herzegovina for candidates Semir Efendić and Denis Bećirović with the current odds discrepancies on Polymarket.

Sports|$4.3m Vol|

UEFA Europa League Winner

Top Undervalued

Undervalued Options Insights:

Aston Villa and Freiburg are the finalists for the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League. Aston Villa's squad d...

🔓 Log in to see more

[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Access the Polymarket page for 'UEFA Europa League Winner 2025–26' to analyze the order book depth and bid-ask spreads for top contenders like Roma or Aston Villa, and re-evaluate fair value and risk based on the latest knockout stage progression and team injury news.

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