Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 14?
Weather|$10.9k Vol|
time1 days 4 hrs

Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 14? - AI Found +12.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.12 05:15
Top Undervalued
+12.5¢
20°C(Yes)
+12.5¢
22°C(No)
+11.5¢
19°C(Yes)

Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 14? AI analysis: • +12.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest Wunderground forecast[15], the expected high for Chongqing Jiangbei Internat...
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What will be the top global Netflix show this week?
Culture|$19.4k Vol|
time16 hrs 59 mins

What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

Top Undervalued
+1¢
XO, Kitty: Season 3(No)
+1¢
Trust Me: The False Prophet(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on current market prices and historical trends, 'Trust Me: The False Prophet' has shown except...
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Rule Risk
The rules explicitly state the ranking is based on 'English only' TV shows, yet the options include potential non-English shows (e.g., the Korean drama 'Bloodhounds'). Bettors who do not read carefully might fall into this trap. Additionally, the deadline clause resolving to 'Other' adds some risk.
Movers
April 11, 2026 - April 12, 2026, the price of 'Trust Me: The False Prophet' surged from 67.5c to 95.5c, as weekend viewership data further confirmed its overwhelming lead. April 10, 2026 - April 11, 2026, the price of 'Trust Me: The False Prophet' surged from 48.5c to 69c as it established a clear lead in viewership performance. April 9, 2026 - April 11, 2026, the price of 'XO, Kitty: Season 3' plummeted from 47.5c to 15.5c with high volatility, reflecting decreased market confidence in its chances of winning. April 9, 2026 - April 11, 2026, the price of 'Danny Go!: Season 1' dropped from 41.5c to 16.95c and subsequently to near zero, indicating a significant drop in competitiveness. April 9, 2026 - April 11, 2026, the price of 'Big Mistakes: Season 1' crashed from 41.5c to 1c, essentially dropping out of the race.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Milan on April 14?
Weather|$19.1k Vol|
time1 days 4 hrs

Highest temperature in Milan on April 14?

Top Undervalued
+2.5¢
19°C or higher(No)
+2.5¢
17°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to weather forecasts, the high temperature at Milan Malpensa Airport (LIMC) on April 14 is...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Exotics
Predicting the exact daily high temperature for a specific city is a relatively niche weather betting market. The general public rarely pays attention to such specific details, though it acts as a common novelty bet among prediction market participants.
AI Analysis
Who will win the Legend Trade Series?
Esports|$78.5k Vol|
time2 days 16 hrs

Who will win the Legend Trade Series?

Top Undervalued
+3.4¢
Elisa(Yes)
+2.5¢
Kurt(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The sum of all Yes option implied probabilities is currently around 103%, indicating a slight market...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Exotics
This is a KOL trading competition hosted by a specific platform (Legend Trade). While it garners some attention within crypto and trading circles, it is quite niche and obscure to the general public.
Movers
April 12, 2026 - April 13, 2026, Elisa's price skyrocketed from under 1c (0.45c) to 28c, taking the lead, while Trevor plummeted from 40.2c to 12.2c and Prodzy crashed from 36.8c to 5.5c. This is due to the competition reaching a fever pitch with extreme reversals on the live trading leaderboard, allowing Elisa to surge from behind. April 11, 2026 - April 12, 2026, almost all options experienced wild swings again. Trevor skyrocketed from 0.25c to 40.2c before settling at 32c, Prodzy surged from 0.75c to 36.8c, Jadoodoo spiked from 12.5c to 34.5c, and Kurt jumped from 0.4c to 36.7c. This is due to the competition entering its final sprint, where frequent live leaderboard swaps cause extreme market sentiment instability. April 9, 2026 - April 11, 2026, Jim Parillo's price surged from 8c to 29c before falling back to 8c, and Prodzy's price spiked from 17.5c to 28c before dropping to 13.5c. Meanwhile, Elisa's price plummeted from 19.5c to 7.5c. This extreme volatility was likely driven by live leaderboard updates during the competition where Jim and Prodzy temporarily took the lead, but their edge was later erased. April 6, 2026 - April 7, 2026, Madz's price spiked from 10c to 26.5c, and Elisa's price surged from 15.5c to 25c. This was likely due to a periodic leaderboard update where both traders showed standout performance. However, by April 8, both prices corrected downward, indicating that other competitors closed the gap or market sentiment cooled.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
20°C
YesNo
17.5¢
82.5¢
30¢
70¢
+12.5¢
22°C
YesNo
27.5¢
72.5¢
15¢
85¢
+12.5¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Divergence
There is a slight divergence: mainstream weather forecasts (e.g., Wunderground) project a high of 22°C for April 14, but the prediction market favors 20°C (Yes price 30.5c). This discrepancy likely stems from bettors expecting actual temperatures to fall short of the forecast due to anticipated rainfall (65% chance of precipitation) and its associated cooling effect.

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