Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 23?
Weather|$22.3k Vol|
time3 hrs 57 mins

Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 23? - AI Found +68.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 05.22 20:56
Top Undervalued
+68.5¢
33°C(No)
+7.5¢
34°C(Yes)
+3.4¢
35°C(Yes)

Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 23? AI analysis: • +68.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecast data, the weather in Guangzhou on May 23, 2026, is expected to ...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 23?
Weather|$21.9k Vol|
time3 hrs 57 mins

Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 23?

Top Undervalued
+36.5¢
30°C(No)
+32.9¢
32°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecasts (including Wunderground and Met Office), the high temperature ...
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Exotics
Quite niche. Predicting the exact highest temperature in a specific city on a specific future date is a highly specialized meteorological prediction market. Unless there is an extreme weather event, the general public rarely guesses such fine-grained precise data.
Movers
May 21, 2026 - May 22, 2026: The Yes price for 30°C surged from 9c to 25c, and the 32°C option also spiked from 16.5c to 28c. This was due to the approaching resolution day, where updated local meteorological cloud covers and precipitation probabilities prompted market participants to drastically revise their lower-bound temperature estimates before settling back into a rational equilibrium.
AI Analysis
What are the exact win/loss conditions for this Chongqing temperature market, and how does Wunderground's rule of measuring to whole degrees Celsius affect the final outcome?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 23?
Weather|$14.4k Vol|
time3 hrs 57 mins

Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 23?

Top Undervalued
+7¢
24°C(No)
+5.5¢
23°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecasts, the highest temperature in Warsaw on May 23 is expected to be...
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Exotics
Betting on the exact daily high temperature of a specific city is a highly niche and novelty market, as the general public rarely speculates on such precise daily meteorological data.
Movers
May 21, 2026 - May 22, 2026, the price of '27°C or higher' plummeted from 26c to around 1c, as closer-range weather forecasts ruled out extreme high temperatures. May 21, 2026 - May 22, 2026, the price of '22°C' dropped from 16.5c to around 6c, as meteorological models trended towards the warmer 23-24°C range. May 21, 2026 - May 22, 2026, the price of '24°C' climbed from 29.5c to 44c, as the forecasted high stabilized around 75°F (approx. 24°C).
AI Analysis
How exactly does Wunderground finalize the daily high temperature (rounded to whole degrees) for Warsaw Chopin Airport (EPWA), and are there any risks of delayed or halted data recording on May 23?
Highest temperature in Singapore on May 23?
Weather|$57.1k Vol|
time3 hrs 57 mins

Highest temperature in Singapore on May 23?

Top Undervalued
+56.7¢
32°C(No)
+13.8¢
33°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The latest weather forecasts (including Wunderground and AccuWeather) indicate that the high tempera...
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Movers
May 21, 2026 - May 22, 2026: The price of the 30°C option plummeted from 26.5c to 5.2c, while the 32°C option surged from 26.5c to 42.5c and the 31°C option rose from 27c to 35.5c. The reason is that as the resolution date approaches, updated weather forecasts have narrowed the maximum temperature range to 31°C-32°C for Changi Airport, largely ruling out a high of only 30°C.
AI Analysis
Explain the resolution criteria for the Singapore temperature market using the simplest language, especially regarding how Wunderground rounds to whole degrees Celsius.
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 23?
Weather|$25.1k Vol|
time3 hrs 57 mins

Highest temperature in Madrid on May 23?

Top Undervalued
+8.5¢
32°C(No)
+4.5¢
33°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The latest weather forecasts indicate that the high temperature around Madrid Barajas Airport on May...
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Exotics
While weather forecasting is a routine daily activity, betting on the precise peak temperature range of a specific city on a given day is a somewhat niche, albeit established, novelty topic in prediction markets.
Movers
May 21, 2026 - May 22, 2026, the price of the 32°C option rose from 25c to 38.5c, and the 33°C option fluctuated significantly between 33.5c and 47.5c. This is because as the resolution date approaches, weather forecast models become more precise, strengthening the market consensus that the highest temperature will fall around 32°C or 33°C, leading to active trading between these two options.
AI Analysis
Explain the resolution rules for this Madrid temperature market using simple language, specifically how the finalized Wunderground data and whole degrees Celsius will determine the winning option.
Highest temperature in Milan on May 23?
Weather|$26.5k Vol|
time3 hrs 57 mins

Highest temperature in Milan on May 23?

Top Undervalued
+5¢
28°C(Yes)
+4.5¢
30°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest meteorological forecasts, the maximum temperature at Milan Malpensa Airport ...
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Exotics
Predicting the exact highest temperature of a specific city on a given day is a relatively niche, everyday topic. While not as absurd as supernatural events, such highly specific weather guessing games lack broad macro significance and serve more as novelty or entertainment subjects in prediction markets.
Movers
May 21, 2026 - May 22, 2026, the price of the 29°C option surged from 18c to 44c, because as the expiration date approached, the latest weather forecasts converged more around 29°C, significantly boosting market confidence.
AI Analysis
Given that Wunderground is the sole resolution source, does the Milan Malpensa Airport (LIMC) station have any history of missing data or delayed updates, and how can we confirm the temperature data for May 23 is finalized?
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
33°C
YesNo
98.5¢
1.5¢
30¢
70¢
0¢
+68.5¢
34°C
YesNo
2.5¢
97.5¢
10¢
90¢
+7.5¢
0¢

Expand to view all 4 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
Between May 21, 2026 and May 22, 2026, the price of the 30°C option plummeted from 18.8c to 6c, and the 34°C option dropped from 19c to 7c, while the 32°C option surged from 19.5c to 31c. This was caused by the approaching resolution date; the latest weather forecasts provided a much more concentrated and accurate prediction of the temperature range, ruling out the possibilities of both lower and higher outlier temperatures, causing funds to concentrate on the most likely range.

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