AI Signal Dashboard
Last updated: 04.16 20:01
Top Undervalued
+38.5¢
16°C(No)
+34.9¢
14°C(Yes)
+17.5¢
15°C(No)
Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 17? AI analysis: Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.
Undervalued Options Insights:
The latest Wunderground and AccuWeather forecasts indicate that the high temperature for Helsinki Va...
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Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
16°C
YesNo
53.5¢
46.5¢
15¢
85¢
0¢
+38.5¢
14°C
YesNo
0.05¢
99.95¢
35¢
65¢
+34.9¢
0¢
Expand to view all 6 options
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
Although weather forecasting is an established niche in crypto prediction markets, betting on the exact daily high temperature of Helsinki, Finland on a specific date is somewhat fringe and novel for the general public, typically attracting only weather enthusiasts or quantitative arbitrageurs.
Movers
April 15, 2026 - April 16, 2026, the price of 15°C surged from 12c to 33c, while the price of 17°C plummeted from 31c to 11c. This was driven by updated meteorological models which adjusted the forecasted high temperature downwards for April 17.
No options have experienced a price swing of more than 10c over the past 3 days before that. Prices had smoothly adjusted according to standard meteorological forecasts.
Divergence
The market currently assigns the highest probabilities to 16°C (34.5%) and 15°C (29%), whereas the latest official Wunderground forecasts predict highs between 54°F (12°C) and 58°F (14°C). This indicates a significant lag in market pricing, which has not yet fully incorporated the recent cooling trend in the forecast.