Search historical weather records for Helsinki Vantaa Airport (EFHK) to calculate the actual occurrence frequency of each temperature option range (from 6°C or below to 16°C or higher) on April 20th over the past few years.

AI-powered analysis for: Search historical weather records for Helsinki Vantaa Airport (EFHK) to calculate the actual occurrence frequency of each temperature option range (from 6°C or below to 16°C or higher) on April 20th over the past few years.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Based on the current bid/ask spread and order book depth across the 11 temperature options, qualitatively assess the slippage risk for a $1,000-level capital entry or exit in this Helsinki weather market.

AI-powered analysis for: Based on the current bid/ask spread and order book depth across the 11 temperature options, qualitatively assess the slippage risk for a $1,000-level capital entry or exit in this Helsinki weather market.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Synthesize the latest meteorological forecast models to output a brief trading plan for this Helsinki temperature event, including the entry rationale for the most likely temperature range, target price, and invalidation conditions due to sudden weather shifts.

AI-powered analysis for: Synthesize the latest meteorological forecast models to output a brief trading plan for this Helsinki temperature event, including the entry rationale for the most likely temperature range, target price, and invalidation conditions due to sudden weather shifts.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 20?

Weather|$13.5k Vol|

19 hrs 39 mins

Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 20? - AI Found +30.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.18 07:47

Top Undervalued

+30.5¢

13°C(No)

+9.5¢

12°C(Yes)

+4.5¢

15°C(Yes)

Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 20? AI analysis: • +30.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

According to recent weather forecasts (Google Weather, AccuWeather), the high temperature at Helsink...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

13°C

YesNo

55.5¢

44.5¢

25¢

75¢

0¢

+30.5¢

12°C

YesNo

15.5¢

84.5¢

25¢

75¢

+9.5¢

0¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Exotics

While weather prediction is a standard derivative in specific prediction markets, guessing the exact daily maximum temperature of Helsinki on a given date remains a relatively niche and novelty topic for the general public.

Movers

April 18, 2026 - April 18, 2026, the price of the 14°C option surged from 17c to 28.5c. The reason is that as the resolution date approaches, some weather models hinted at a warmer peak temperature, triggering rapid repositioning towards warmer options.

Divergence

There is a notable consensus divergence. Mainstream weather forecasts (e.g., Google Weather) generally predict a high of around 12°C (53°F) for April 20 [2], whereas Polymarket traders have currently bid up 14°C and 13°C as the favorites. This indicates the market is betting on a heat spike beyond standard model outputs or speculating on systemic biases in the specific resolution source (Wunderground history).