Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 18?
Weather|$10.4k Vol|
time21 hrs 40 mins

Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 18? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.16 07:38
Top Undervalued
+8.5¢
33°C(No)
+5.5¢
34°C(No)
+4.5¢
31°C(Yes)

Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 18? AI analysis: • +8.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, Jakarta's Halim Perdanakusuma Airport (WIHH) is expected ...
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Highest temperature in Ankara on April 18?
Weather|$15.5k Vol|
time21 hrs 40 mins

Highest temperature in Ankara on April 18?

Top Undervalued
+10¢
16°C(No)
+9.5¢
13°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature for Ankara (and the Çubuk area where...
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Exotics
Betting on daily high temperatures in specific cities is a common fixture in prediction markets, but for the general public, forecasting the exact temperature on a specific day in Ankara, Turkey, remains a relatively niche and specific event.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 18?
Weather|$105.1k Vol|
time21 hrs 40 mins

Highest temperature in Wellington on April 18?

Top Undervalued
+35.9¢
17°C(Yes)
+32¢
18°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest high-resolution short-term weather models, the peak temperature at Wellingto...
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Exotics
Predicting the daily temperature of a specific city is somewhat common on prediction markets featuring weather contracts, but a specific day's temperature in Wellington, NZ remains a niche and mildly novelty-driven topic.
Movers
April 16, 2026 - April 17, 2026, the price of 15°C plunged from 19.5c to 1.75c, 16°C crashed from 22c to 6.55c, and 19°C dropped from 27c to 13c, because the latest short-term weather forecasts ruled out extreme temperature deviations and provided high confidence that the high will fall in the 17°C to 18°C range.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 18?
Weather|$16.3k Vol|
time21 hrs 40 mins

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 18?

Top Undervalued
+51.5¢
72°F or higher(No)
+21¢
70-71°F(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature at Los Angeles International Airport...
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Divergence
Divergence exists. The prediction market assigns a massive 72% probability to '72°F or higher', yet meteorological forecasts (like AccuWeather and Weather Underground) show KLAX's high on April 18 typically hovering around 68-71°F. The high-end temperature option is heavily overbought, likely due to speculation or liquidity issues.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
33°C
YesNo
33.5¢
66.5¢
25¢
75¢
+8.5¢
34°C
YesNo
15.5¢
84.5¢
10¢
90¢
+5.5¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
Betting on the precise high temperature of a specific city on a single day is a standard novelty data market (common on platforms like Kalshi). While people check the weather daily, the general public rarely gambles on the exact forecasted degree, giving it a moderate novelty and niche factor.
Divergence
There is a significant divergence from mainstream consensus. The market prices '37°C or higher' at 25c, implying a suspiciously high probability for extreme heat. However, mainstream meteorological platforms (e.g., AccuWeather, Meteoblue) consistently forecast highs between 30°C and 33°C with expected rainfall for Jakarta on April 18, well below the 37°C threshold.

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