Highest temperature in Karachi on April 17?
Weather|$23.8k Vol|
time0 s

Highest temperature in Karachi on April 17? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.16 20:58
Top Undervalued
+60¢
35°C or higher(No)

Highest temperature in Karachi on April 17? AI analysis: Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest trading data, the prices for 34°C and 35°C or higher have increased, reflecting ...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

Real-time High Yield Opportunities

View More
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
World|$192.0k Vol|
time73 days 11 hrs

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?

Top Undervalued
+0.7¢
(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As of April 11, 2026, with less than 80 days until expiration, the price of 'Yes' has been trading i...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
AI Analysis
Minnesota Governor Election Winner
Politics|$46.0k Vol|
time199 days 11 hrs

Minnesota Governor Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+3.5¢
Democrat(Yes)
+0.5¢
Republican(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
While the market prices the Democrat share at 93 cents, fundamental analysis suggests the probabilit...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Atlanta on April 18?
Weather|$17.4k Vol|
time23 hrs 30 mins

Highest temperature in Atlanta on April 18?

Top Undervalued
+22¢
88-89°F(No)
+19.5¢
84-85°F(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecasts (including AccuWeather and Weather.com), the highest temperatu...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Exotics
While checking the weather is a daily routine, predicting the exact high-temperature range for a specific city on a specific future date is not something most people think about unless prompted, making it a moderately niche prediction market topic.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 18?
Weather|$14.6k Vol|
time23 hrs 30 mins

Highest temperature in Lagos on April 18?

Top Undervalued
+33¢
31°C(Yes)
+23¢
33°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest forecasts from Wunderground and other weather sources, Lagos is expected to ...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Exotics
While weather forecasting is a standard derivative category in prediction markets, betting on the exact daily high temperature at a specific weather station in Lagos, Nigeria, on a random day is a niche topic that the general public would not typically think about or monitor.
Divergence
There is a significant divergence between market pricing and mainstream forecasts. The prediction market assigns a 30% probability to 33°C and a 25.5% probability to 37°C or higher. Meanwhile, meteorological agencies (such as Google Weather and Wunderground) uniformly forecast scattered thunderstorms for Lagos on April 18, with highs between 31°C and 32°C. The market is severely overestimating the chance of extreme, rain-free high temperatures.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
35°C or higher
YesNo
99.95¢
0.05¢
40¢
60¢
+60¢
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
While weather forecasting is a standard template in prediction markets, betting on the exact daily high temperature for a specific city in Pakistan remains a relatively niche topic that falls outside mainstream public interest.
Movers
Between 2026-04-15 06:08:18 and 2026-04-16 17:58:18, the price of '35°C or higher' rose from 26c to 50c, as approaching settlement times and weather forecasts indicated a higher likelihood of extreme temperatures, prompting traders to buy this option. Between 2026-04-15 06:08:18 and 2026-04-16 17:58:18, the price of '34°C' increased from 14c to 32c, driven by temperature forecasts trending around 34°C, increasing its probability. Between 2026-04-15 06:08:18 and 2026-04-16 17:58:18, the price of '33°C' peaked at 31c before falling to 21.5c, showing fluctuating market assessments of its likelihood. Between 2026-04-15 06:08:18 and 2026-04-16 19:03:18, the price of '31°C' dropped from 14c to 0.75c, as actual temperature expectations are significantly higher, making this option highly unlikely. Between 2026-04-15 06:08:18 and 2026-04-16 17:58:18, prices for '29°C' and below all dropped below 1c, as such low temperatures are extremely unlikely given the current season and forecasts.

Support

Frequently Asked Questions

1. What is PolyPredict AI and how can I access it?
2. How does the AI determine the "Fair Value"?
3. What makes the "Arbitrage Plans" unique?
4. What is the difference between Event and Live Markets?
5. What are the key differences between the Free and Pro versions?
6. Can I use PolyPredict AI on Telegram?

The All-in-One AI Copilot for Prediction Markets