AI Signal Dashboard
Last updated: 04.16 20:58
Top Undervalued
+60¢
35°C or higher(No)
Highest temperature in Karachi on April 17? AI analysis: Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest trading data, the prices for 34°C and 35°C or higher have increased, reflecting ...
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Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
35°C or higher
YesNo
99.95¢
0.05¢
40¢
60¢
0¢
+60¢
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
While weather forecasting is a standard template in prediction markets, betting on the exact daily high temperature for a specific city in Pakistan remains a relatively niche topic that falls outside mainstream public interest.
Movers
Between 2026-04-15 06:08:18 and 2026-04-16 17:58:18, the price of '35°C or higher' rose from 26c to 50c, as approaching settlement times and weather forecasts indicated a higher likelihood of extreme temperatures, prompting traders to buy this option.
Between 2026-04-15 06:08:18 and 2026-04-16 17:58:18, the price of '34°C' increased from 14c to 32c, driven by temperature forecasts trending around 34°C, increasing its probability.
Between 2026-04-15 06:08:18 and 2026-04-16 17:58:18, the price of '33°C' peaked at 31c before falling to 21.5c, showing fluctuating market assessments of its likelihood.
Between 2026-04-15 06:08:18 and 2026-04-16 19:03:18, the price of '31°C' dropped from 14c to 0.75c, as actual temperature expectations are significantly higher, making this option highly unlikely.
Between 2026-04-15 06:08:18 and 2026-04-16 17:58:18, prices for '29°C' and below all dropped below 1c, as such low temperatures are extremely unlikely given the current season and forecasts.