Predicting the daily temperature of a specific city is a typical weather prediction market. It is less mainstream than political elections or macroeconomic indicators but not extremely bizarre, having a certain niche audience.

May 2, 2026 - May 3, 2026, the >55m option's price fluctuated, rising from 29.5c to a peak of 70.9c before settling at 37c, as actual weekend performance indicated potential for a higher gross, causing the market to reprice this bracket. May 1, 2026 - May 2, 2026, the price of the 50-55m option surged from 23.5c to a peak of 84.5c, while the 35-40m and 40-45m options plummeted to around 1c. This was driven by strong Friday box office estimates (around $14M), which caused market expectations for the second weekend gross to be significantly upgraded to over $50M.