AI Signal Dashboard
Last updated: 04.01 21:33
Top Undervalued
+14.5¢
78°F or higher(No)
+9.5¢
74-75°F(Yes)
+7.5¢
72-73°F(Yes)
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 3? AI analysis: • +14.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.
Undervalued Options Insights:
The latest weather forecasts (e.g., AccuWeather) for Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on Apr...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities
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Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
78°F or higher
YesNo
22.5¢
77.5¢
8¢
92¢
0¢
+14.5¢
74-75°F
YesNo
25.5¢
74.5¢
35¢
65¢
+9.5¢
0¢
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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
Predicting the daily high temperature for a specific city is a relatively niche topic and outside mainstream public attention. However, weather forecasting itself is a standard underlying in weather derivatives, making it moderately exotic.
Movers
March 31, 2026 - April 1, 2026, the price of '74-75°F' surged from 13.5c to 28.5c, and '78°F or higher' jumped from 7c to 21.5c. This upward movement was driven by short-range weather forecast models revising expected daytime highs upward, suggesting an earlier burn-off of the marine layer and potential offshore warming.
March 29, 2026 - March 31, 2026, the price of '62-63°F' plummeted from 17.5c to 3.6c, and '76-77°F' dropped from 17.5c to 8.1c. The reason is that as the resolution date approaches, weather forecast models became increasingly confident that temperatures will concentrate around 70-75°F, prompting the market to price out extreme outcomes.
March 29, 2026 - March 31, 2026, the price of '70-71°F' rose from 18c to 27.5c, peaking around 32c. This was driven by earlier updated forecasts (e.g., National Weather Service guidance) indicating the daily high was highly likely to land exactly around 70-72°F, attracting buyers to this bracket.