Betting on the exact highest temperature of a specific city on a given day is somewhat niche and generally not pondered by the public, though weather prediction markets are a relatively standard fixture among non-traditional prediction platforms.

There is a severe divergence between market prices and mainstream weather forecasts. Major meteorological sources (e.g., Google Weather, NDTV) predict that due to rain, the maximum temperature in Lucknow on May 7 will only be between 32°C and 33°C, far below normal. However, the market prices the '35°C or below' option at only 36 cents, indicating that the market has not fully absorbed the recent cooling and rainfall forecasts. Some traders are likely relying on historical climatological averages for the region (around 40°C). Furthermore, the total sum of 'Yes' prices across the market is only around 50 cents, highlighting an extremely inefficient market state.