Highest temperature in Manila on April 28?
Weather|$11.2k Vol|
time22 hrs 26 mins

Highest temperature in Manila on April 28? - AI Found +20.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.26 06:34
Top Undervalued
+20.5¢
36°C(No)
+18.1¢
33°C(Yes)
+15.5¢
35°C(No)

Highest temperature in Manila on April 28? AI analysis: • +20.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
The latest weather forecasts indicate that Manila (including the RPLL area) will experience thunders...
🔓 Log in to see more

Real-time High Yield Opportunities

View More
Highest temperature in Houston on April 29?
Weather|$12.1k Vol|
time1 days 22 hrs

Highest temperature in Houston on April 29?

Top Undervalued
+2¢
88°F or higher(No)
+0.7¢
80-81°F(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecasts from AccuWeather, the Houston Chronicle, and the NWS, the high...
🔓 Log in to see more
Divergence
There is a significant divergence. The market currently prices '88°F or higher' at only 44%, whereas mainstream weather agencies (e.g., AccuWeather, NWS, local news) are forecasting highs between 89°F and 92°F. Although the resolution source, Wunderground, currently forecasts 87°F, the broader meteorological consensus suggests the probability of reaching 88°F or higher is much stronger than the market's 44% implied probability.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in NYC on April 28?
Weather|$20.3k Vol|
time22 hrs 26 mins

Highest temperature in NYC on April 28?

Top Undervalued
+23¢
64-65°F(No)
+19.5¢
60-61°F(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest meteorological data, the highest temperature for New York City (LaGuardia Ai...
🔓 Log in to see more
Exotics
Betting on the exact daily highest temperature of a specific city is uncommon and somewhat trivial for the general public, though it serves as a relatively standard and popular novelty market for niche prediction market participants.
AI Analysis
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes April 27 - May 3?
Weather|$10.8k Vol|
time5 days 10 hrs

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes April 27 - May 3?

Top Undervalued
+4.5¢
0(No)
+3.5¢
1(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The global average frequency of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher is about 40-50 per yea...
🔓 Log in to see more
Exotics
Predicting the exact number of high-magnitude earthquakes globally within a specific week is highly random. It is a typical novelty and probability-driven market, as almost no one thinks about or tracks such specific short-term geological statistics before seeing the prompt.
Movers
April 24, 2026 - April 26, 2026, the prices of options 2, 3, 4, 5, and >5 plummeted significantly from the 30c-50c range to single digits or low teens (e.g., Option 2 dropped from 50c to 12.5c, Option 3 fell from 39c to under 4c). This was likely due to severe initial mispricing caused by extremely low liquidity when the market opened, which was later corrected by traders aligning prices with natural statistical probabilities.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 28?
Weather|$38.9k Vol|
time22 hrs 26 mins

Highest temperature in Seoul on April 28?

Top Undervalued
+17.5¢
16°C(No)
+8.6¢
19°C or higher(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the highest temperature at Incheon Airport (RKSI) on Apri...
🔓 Log in to see more
Rule Risk
The title asks for the highest temperature in 'Seoul', but the resolution criteria strictly specify the data source as the 'Incheon Intl Airport Station'. Incheon Airport is coastal, and its temperatures often differ significantly from inland downtown Seoul. Bettors relying on generic Seoul weather forecasts face a substantial risk of being misled. Additionally, the rounding to whole degrees Celsius requires precision awareness at the boundaries.
Divergence
The market currently prices the '19°C or higher' option with the highest probability (30.5%). However, mainstream weather forecasts indicate that the high temperature is much more likely to fall within the 15°C-17°C range, revealing a notable divergence between market sentiment and meteorological data.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Miami on April 28?
Weather|$13.9k Vol|
time22 hrs 26 mins

Highest temperature in Miami on April 28?

Top Undervalued
+13¢
84-85°F(No)
+7.3¢
80-81°F(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature for Miami International Airport (KMIA) o...
🔓 Log in to see more
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
36°C
YesNo
32.5¢
67.5¢
12¢
88¢
+20.5¢
33°C
YesNo
2.85¢
97.15¢
21¢
79¢
+18.1¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
Between April 26, 2026, 05:13 and 06:18, multiple options experienced drastic price changes: the 37°C option plummeted from 31c to 3c, the 36°C option crashed from 35.5c to 11.5c, the 35°C option dropped from 37.5c to 22.5c, and the 32°C option fell from 17.5c to 2c. The reason is that as the date approaches, updated weather forecast models have confirmed a higher probability of rain in Manila on April 28. This significantly reduces the likelihood of extreme high temperatures (above 36°C) or unseasonable lows (below 32°C), causing market expectations to rapidly converge toward the 33°C-34°C range.

Support

Frequently Asked Questions

1. What is PolyPredict AI and how can I access it?
2. How does the AI determine the "Fair Value"?
3. What makes the "Arbitrage Plans" unique?
4. What is the difference between Event and Live Markets?
5. What are the key differences between the Free and Pro versions?
6. Can I use PolyPredict AI on Telegram?

The All-in-One AI Copilot for Prediction Markets