Highest temperature in Milan on March 30?
Weather|$13.4k Vol|
time2 hrs 17 mins

Highest temperature in Milan on March 30? - AI Found +21¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 03.29 22:40
Top Undervalued
+21¢
19°C(No)
+9¢
18°C(Yes)
+4.5¢
16°C(Yes)

Highest temperature in Milan on March 30? AI analysis: • +21¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
As the expiration date is extremely close, referring to current weather forecasts, the expected high...
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Highest temperature in Dallas on March 30?
Weather|$15.3k Vol|
time2 hrs 17 mins

Highest temperature in Dallas on March 30?

Top Undervalued
+17.5¢
84-85°F(No)
+13.6¢
80-81°F(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The latest weather forecasts suggest that the high temperature in Dallas on March 30 will be between...
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Exotics
Although predicting the daily temperature of a specific city is not a mainstream everyday concern, weather-related contracts are fairly common in prediction markets, making it a moderately regular topic.
Divergence
The prediction market implies a 25% chance for the 90-91°F option, whereas mainstream meteorological forecasts (like AccuWeather) predict high temperatures strictly in the 83°F to 86°F range. This indicates a significant divergence, with the market drastically overpricing the extreme heat scenario.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 30?
Weather|$33.7k Vol|
time2 hrs 17 mins

Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 30?

Top Undervalued
+29.9¢
35°C(Yes)
+27¢
36°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest Wunderground forecast, the highest temperature in Lucknow on March 30, 2026,...
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Exotics
While predicting the exact daily high temperature of a specific Indian city is a niche topic lacking broad public interest, weather forecasting is a standard and regular category on prediction markets, so it is not extremely bizarre.
Divergence
Market prices show irrationally high implied probabilities across multiple options (sum of Yes prices equals 227%), diverging significantly from the deterministic forecasts of any single weather source. Mainstream meteorological sources indicate a high around 36°C, and multiple temperature outcomes cannot occur simultaneously.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
19°C
YesNo
40¢
60¢
19¢
81¢
+21¢
18°C
YesNo
29¢
71¢
38¢
62¢
+9¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
Between 20:00 and 22:10 on March 29, 2026, the price of '19°C' plummeted from 38.5c to 18.5c, as updated weather forecast data near the settlement time reduced the likelihood of reaching 19°C. Between 20:00 and 22:10 on March 29, 2026, the price of '18°C' surged from 25.5c to 37.5c, due to the weather forecast stabilizing around 18°C.

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