Highest temperature in Panama City on May 11?
Weather|$10.7k Vol|
time9 hrs 11 mins

Highest temperature in Panama City on May 11? - AI Found +24.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 05.10 10:56
Top Undervalued
+24.5¢
33°C or higher(No)
+21.5¢
31°C(Yes)
+7.5¢
30°C(Yes)

Highest temperature in Panama City on May 11? AI analysis: • +24.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecasts, Panama City (Marcos A. Gelabert Airport) is expected to exper...
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Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 12?
Weather|$10.6k Vol|
time1 days 9 hrs

Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 12?

Top Undervalued
+6.5¢
27°C(Yes)
+6.5¢
24°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecasts, Chongqing is expected to experience light rain or mostly clou...
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Exotics
Predicting the exact highest temperature of a specific city on a single day is not a general topic of public concern. However, weather markets are a common niche category in prediction markets, giving it moderate novelty without being extremely bizarre.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Denver on May 12?
Weather|$15.0k Vol|
time1 days 9 hrs

Highest temperature in Denver on May 12?

Top Undervalued
+0.4¢
58-59°F(No)
+0.4¢
60°F or higher(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The market heavily favors '60°F or higher'. Given that it is only 2 days until expiration and typica...
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Rule Risk
While the title mentions Denver, the rules explicitly state that resolution is based on the Buckley Space Force Base Station (KBKF) in Aurora. Traders relying on forecasts for downtown Denver or Denver International Airport may encounter discrepancies, posing a moderate misleading risk.
Exotics
Predicting the specific high temperature range for a given day in a specific city is a niche market. While less common than political or financial markets, it is a standard type of weather-related prediction.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Austin on May 12?
Weather|$34.3k Vol|
time1 days 9 hrs

Highest temperature in Austin on May 12?

Top Undervalued
+10.5¢
84°F or higher(Yes)
+7.5¢
82-83°F(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Recent weather forecasts (including NWS and AccuWeather) predict the high temperature for Austin, TX...
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Exotics
While weather forecasting is an everyday necessity, betting on the exact daily high temperature of a specific city in a prediction market is a somewhat niche and novelty market, diverging from traditional macroeconomic or political forecasting.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
33°C or higher
YesNo
34.5¢
65.5¢
10¢
90¢
+24.5¢
31°C
YesNo
13.5¢
86.5¢
35¢
65¢
+21.5¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
While weather forecasting is an everyday occurrence, betting on the exact daily high temperature of a specific city down to a whole-degree bracket is a relatively niche and novelty market, primarily appealing to a small subset of weather data traders.
Movers
From May 9, 2026 to May 10, 2026, the price of the '30°C' option surged from 5c to 19.5c, while the '33°C or higher' option plummeted from 41c to 21c. This was caused by the latest weather forecasts indicating heavy thunderstorms on May 11, leading the market to significantly lower its high-temperature expectations. Previously, no option had experienced a price movement of more than 10 cents in the last 3 days, indicating initially stable market expectations.

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