Highest temperature in Paris on April 25?
Weather|$11.4k Vol|
time1 days 4 hrs

Highest temperature in Paris on April 25? - AI Found +14.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.23 07:34
Top Undervalued
+14.5¢
22°C(No)
+8.5¢
24°C(Yes)
+3.5¢
23°C(No)

Highest temperature in Paris on April 25? AI analysis: • +14.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts, the high temperature in Paris (including near Le Bourget ...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?
Politics|$46.3k Vol|
time5 days 16 hrs

Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?

Top Undervalued
+0.5¢
(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
H.R. 7296 (the SAVE America Act) faces insurmountable obstacles in the Senate, primarily the 60-vote...
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Hedging
DJT
The SAVE America Act is a core legislative priority for Trump and his allies in 2026, reportedly being used as leverage in government shutdown negotiations. An unexpected passage (Score 3) would be seen as a major political victory for the GOP, directly benefiting Trump-linked assets (like DJT, Trump Media). Conversely, if the standoff over this bill escalates the threat of a government shutdown, it could generate short-term negative sentiment for the broader market (S&P 500).
AI Analysis
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by May 1?
Trump|$507.3k Vol|
time6 days 16 hrs

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by May 1?

Top Undervalued
+0.8¢
200M(No)
+0.5¢
250M(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With less than 7 days to expiration, all options are trading at extremely low prices (under 2 cents)...
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Hedging
Crude Oil
A significant drop in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) usually implies government releases to suppress prices or a halt in replenishment. If stocks fall unexpectedly to very low levels (e.g., 250M or 200M), it could signal a severe supply crisis or geopolitical tension, directly boosting 'Crude Oil' futures prices. It has some impact on the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE). While a sharp SPR drop could trigger inflation fears affecting yields slightly, the primary impact is directly on oil prices.
AI Analysis
Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026
Esports|$31.9k Vol|
time6 days 16 hrs

Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026

Top Undervalued
+0.5¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With less than a week remaining until the May 1, 2026 deadline, no qualifying crying event has occur...
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Exotics
This is a typical niche internet culture or streamer drama market. Few people would consider this question unless they are dedicated fans of the streamer. Predictions regarding specific personal behaviors (especially emotional outbursts) fall into the high-novelty category.
Movers
April 22, 2026 - April 24, 2026, the price of the 'Yes' option dropped from 27.5c to 16c, a move of over 10c, as the deadline nears without a qualifying event and time decay dominates market expectations. April 19, 2026 - April 20, 2026, the 'Yes' option plunged from 31c to 15.5c due to the lack of any signs of emotional breakdown in the short term, causing market buying to fade quickly. April 7, 2026 - April 10, 2026, the price of the 'Yes' option dropped from 38c to 26c, a move of over 10c. The reason is the accelerating time decay as the deadline approaches without a qualifying event, cooling down market expectations of a breakdown. Early March 2026, the 'Yes' option reached highs of 65.5c due to anticipation of the immense stress from Clavicular's subathon.
AI Analysis
Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap
Tech|$394.9k Vol|
time66 days 16 hrs

Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap

Top Undervalued
+3.6¢
125–150B(No)
+3.3¢
No IPO by June 30, 2026(Yes)
Arbitrage|Low Risk
Arbitrage Plan: Buy Yes for 'No IPO by June 30, 2026', which holds a certainty premium, though capital lock-up costs should be considered. Plan Description: Currently, the Yes price for 'No IPO by June 30, 2026' is around 88c. Given the extremely high certa...
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Undervalued Options Insights:
With less than three months remaining until June 30, 2026, Databricks has yet to formally file for a...
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Hedging
SNOW
Databricks' IPO valuation will directly benchmark against Snowflake (SNOW), its primary competitor in cloud data warehousing and AI infrastructure. A high valuation for Databricks could either signal bullishness for the sector, lifting SNOW, or create a capital rotation effect, weighing on SNOW depending on the valuation multiples. Microsoft (MSFT) and Amazon (AMZN), as key cloud partners and investors, may see minor sentiment impacts. The Nasdaq 100 will also view this as a bellwether for the broader tech IPO market recovery.
AI Analysis
"Michael" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Culture|$13.8k Vol|
time2 days 16 hrs

"Michael" Rotten Tomatoes score?

Top Undervalued
+57.5¢
35+(No)
+47.5¢
40+(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest review embargo lift, the movie 'Michael' already has over 100 reviews on Rotten ...
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Divergence
There is a severe divergence between market prices and mainstream reality. The actual Rotten Tomatoes score is already between 26% and 35%, yet the market prices for 25+ (49.5c) and 30+ (24c) heavily underestimate the current status, indicating delayed market reaction or significant information asymmetry.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
22°C
YesNo
40.5¢
59.5¢
26¢
74¢
+14.5¢
24°C
YesNo
11.5¢
88.5¢
20¢
80¢
+8.5¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
This is a market predicting the daily high temperature of a specific city. While weather derivatives exist in professional finance, betting on the exact temperature of a single day is a niche, somewhat novelty-driven topic for general public prediction markets.

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