Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 30?
Weather|$12.5k Vol|
time57 mins

Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 30? - AI Found +15.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 03.29 22:12
Top Undervalued
+15.5¢
74-75°F(No)
+8¢
70-71°F(No)
+7¢
72-73°F(Yes)

Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 30? AI analysis: • +15.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
The latest weather forecasts indicate that the high temperature at San Francisco International Airpo...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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Highest temperature in Chicago on April 1?
Weather|$13.5k Vol|
time2 days 0 hrs

Highest temperature in Chicago on April 1?

Top Undervalued
+42.9¢
36-37°F(Yes)
+42.4¢
38-39°F(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts (especially Wunderground), the highest temperature at Chic...
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Movers
On March 29, 2026, the price of '33°F or below' plummeted from 25.5c to 0.55c, and '36-37°F' plummeted from 17.5c to 1.95c, as updated meteorological models ruled out extreme cold scenarios. On March 29, 2026, the price of '46-47°F' dropped from 25c to 12.5c, reflecting the convergence of short-term weather forecasts.
Divergence
Significant divergence exists. Polymarket currently prices '52°F or higher' as the favorite (40.5%), yet mainstream weather forecasts (including the official resolution source Wunderground) explicitly state that Chicago's temperature on April 1 will be between 35°F and 38°F, far below 52°F. This disconnect is likely due to stale early bets or excessive hedging not catching up to the latest meteorological models.
AI Analysis
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?
Politics|$191.4k Vol|
time12 hrs 57 mins

Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?

Top Undervalued
0¢
(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As of March 30, 2026, with less than a day left until market expiration, there are no official annou...
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Exotics
This is a moderately exotic market. While Netanyahu is a high-profile leader whose travels are news, predicting a specific visit to a specific city (NYC) within a short timeframe is speculative and not a guaranteed scheduled event like an election. It falls into the category of geopolitical gossip/logistics forecasting.
AI Analysis
Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?
Trump|$78.9k Vol|
time12 hrs 57 mins

Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?

Top Undervalued
0¢
(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With less than 1 day left until the March 31 deadline, there are no signs or credible reports indica...
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Exotics
This is a highly exotic and conspiracy-driven market. It is an absurd and fringe question, given there is absolutely no credible evidence or mainstream reporting suggesting the Federal Reserve Chairman is at risk of arrest by law enforcement.
Hedging
Bitcoin
US 10Y Yield
Gold
S&P 500
DXY
Although the probability is infinitesimally small, if Jerome Powell were actually arrested, it would be an unprecedented 'Black Swan' event causing an instant collapse of global financial order. As the head of the world's central bank, his legal jeopardy directly impacts the credibility of the USD and the stability of US monetary policy. If realized, equity markets would crash in panic, Treasury yields would fluctuate violently (flight to safety or credit collapse), and Gold/Bitcoin would react sharply as safe havens or chaos hedges.
AI Analysis
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
World|$154.3k Vol|
time91 days 12 hrs

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?

Top Undervalued
+2.5¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As of March 28, 2026, with only about 93 days remaining until settlement, the price of 'Yes' has sta...
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AI Analysis
Minnesota Governor Election Winner
Politics|$22.5k Vol|
time217 days 12 hrs

Minnesota Governor Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+3¢
Republican(No)
+2.5¢
Democrat(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
While the market prices the Democrat share at 92.5 cents, fundamental analysis suggests the probabil...
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AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
74-75°F
YesNo
22.5¢
77.5¢
93¢
+15.5¢
70-71°F
YesNo
26¢
74¢
18¢
82¢
+8¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
Between 19:35 and 21:45 on March 29, 2026, the Yes price for '76°F or higher' plummeted from 25c to 8c, and '74-75°F' dropped from 25c to 9.5c. This occurred because updated weather forecasts closer to the resolution date ruled out the likelihood of extreme high temperatures exceeding 74°F. Between 19:35 and 21:45 on March 29, 2026, the prices for '68-69°F' and '72-73°F' rose from 25.5c and 26c to 29.5c and 32c, respectively, as the latest weather models converged, narrowing the expected high temperature into these specific ranges.

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