Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 11?
Weather|$10.4k Vol|
time7 hrs 11 mins

Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 11? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 05.10 15:56
Top Undervalued
+0.6¢
60-61°F(No)
+0.5¢
64-65°F(Yes)
+0.4¢
66°F or higher(Yes)

Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 11? AI analysis: • +0.6¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Latest weather forecasts indicate that due to a warming pattern, the high temperature at San Francis...
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Highest temperature in Paris on May 12?
Weather|$11.7k Vol|
time1 days 7 hrs

Highest temperature in Paris on May 12?

Top Undervalued
+10¢
14°C(No)
+5.5¢
17°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to major weather forecast services (Google Weather, AccuWeather, Meteored), the high tempe...
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Exotics
Predicting the exact high temperature for a specific city on a specific day is a novelty weather prediction market. While relatively common on prediction platforms, this hyper-specific data point is not something the general public actively monitors.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 12?
Weather|$23.8k Vol|
time1 days 7 hrs

Highest temperature in Seoul on May 12?

Top Undervalued
+8¢
22°C or higher(No)
+1.5¢
20°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Recent weather forecasts indicate that the highest temperature around Incheon International Airport ...
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Rule Risk
The title asks for the temperature in 'Seoul', but the resolution criteria strictly specify data from the 'Incheon Intl Airport Station (RKSI)'. Incheon is coastal, and its temperature often differs from central Seoul. Traders relying on central Seoul forecasts without reading the rules face a significant risk of misjudgment. Additionally, temperatures are resolved to whole degrees Celsius.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
60-61°F
YesNo
0.6¢
99.4¢
100¢
+0.6¢
64-65°F
YesNo
1.5¢
98.5¢
98¢
+0.5¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
May 9, 2026 - May 10, 2026, the price of '66°F or higher' surged from 84c to 96c, while '64-65°F' plummeted from 18.5c to 1.4c. This was because as the prediction date approached, weather forecasts confirmed a significant warming trend in the San Francisco area, ensuring the maximum temperature would well exceed 66 degrees Fahrenheit, thus rapidly consolidating market confidence into the highest bracket.

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