Based on current forecasts and recent historical data, the highest temperature in Beijing on March 3...

On March 29, 2026, the 'yes' price for 17°C surged from 20.5c to 36.5c, and 18°C surged from 20.5c to 31c, as the date approaches and weather forecasts become more precise, narrowing down to this temperature range. On March 29, 2026, the 'yes' price for 21°C plummeted from 25.5c to 3.95c, and 22°C plummeted from 25.5c to 3.4c, because as the date approaches, the likelihood of actual temperatures reaching these higher values has become extremely low.

This market asks if AWS will experience a service interruption event classified with a severity of '...

March 26, 2026 - March 29, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' plummeted from a peak of 57.5c to 4c. The reason is that as the expiration date (March 31) approaches, market participants realized the probability of a severe service interruption meeting the 'disrupted' classification within the remaining few days is extremely low, causing a sharp drop due to time decay.

MicroStrategy announced a massive capital raise plan (~$44B) on March 24, which clearly indicates th...

This event is directly linked to MicroStrategy's (MSTR) stock price, as its valuation is tightly coupled with its Bitcoin holdings. A new purchase announcement is typically viewed as a bullish signal, potentially triggering stock volatility (Score 3). It also impacts Bitcoin's price, but given BTC's large market cap, the effect of a single announcement is relatively minor (Score 2).

With less than 4 days remaining until the March 31 deadline, there are still no credible public repo...

This is a typical crypto-native 'legal risk' market. While focusing on the arrest of a specific project founder is a niche topic, it is not uncommon within the crypto space, qualifying it as moderately exotic.