Highest temperature in Seattle on April 1?
Weather|$10.5k Vol|
time1 days 18 hrs

Highest temperature in Seattle on April 1? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 03.29 20:45
Top Undervalued
+9.5¢
43°F or below(Yes)
+4.7¢
44-45°F(Yes)
+4¢
54-55°F(Yes)

Highest temperature in Seattle on April 1? AI analysis: • +9.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
As of March 29, 2026, April 1 is 3 days away. Based on the weather forecast trends and seasonal char...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of April 4
Culture|$62.7k Vol|
time6 hrs 34 mins

Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of April 4

Top Undervalued
+0.9¢
Arirang - BTS(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the Billboard 200 tracking week and release schedule, BTS's 'Arirang' holds an overwhelming...
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AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Retrieve the latest order book data for this 'Billboard 200' event on Polymarket (current volume only $50), analyze the bid-ask spread and liquidity depth, and combine with early sales projections from Hits Daily Double (HDD) to assess if current odds show significant mispricing or arbitrage risks due to low liquidity.
Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of April 4
Culture|$257.6k Vol|
time6 hrs 34 mins

Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of April 4

Top Undervalued
+0.7¢
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley(No)
+0.2¢
SWIM - BTS(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest market data and the close of the tracking week (last Thursday night), the Yes pr...
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Movers
Mar 27, 2026 - Mar 30, 2026: The price of 'SWIM - BTS' climbed steadily from 87.5c to 99.3c. With the tracking week concluded and early predictions out, its #1 debut is practically confirmed. Mar 28, 2026 - Mar 29, 2026: The price of 'SWIM - BTS' climbed further from 94c to 99c. As the tracking week ended, its overwhelming data advantage convinced the market of its #1 debut. Mar 25, 2026 - Mar 27, 2026: The price of 'SWIM - BTS' continuously surged from 32c to 88c, driven by overwhelming data from highly organized fan campaigns following the release of their new single, virtually solidifying market expectations for a #1 debut. Mar 24, 2026 - Mar 26, 2026: The price of 'Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley' crashed from 91c to 8c as BTS's strong entry shattered expectations of its continued reign, leading to rapid capital outflow. Mar 23, 2026 - Mar 24, 2026: Multiple non-contender options, including 'Man I Need', 'I Just Might', and 'Ordinary', collectively collapsed from ~49c to 1-2c. This was a market correction of a severely inefficient state where total probabilities exceeded 300%.
AI Analysis
Retrieve the latest chart prediction points (e.g., from Winston or Talk of the Charts) for the tracking week ending March 26, compare them with current Polymarket odds for Bruno Mars and PinkPantheress, and analyze whether the order book is mispricing the gap between the #1 and #2 spots.
What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Culture|$135.0k Vol|
time6 hrs 34 mins

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Top Undervalued
+0.7¢
Trolls(Yes)
Arbitrage Opportunity
1¢
Arbitrage
365%
Annualized yield
Arbitrage|Low Risk
Arbitrage Plan: Buy 'No' shares for all listed options. Since the #1 movie is highly likely to be the unlisted 'Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man', all listed options will resolve to 'No'. Plan Description: The 'No' prices for the options range from 98.7c to 99.6c. Buying a single 'No' share yields a profi...
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Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest streaming data, 'Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man' has consistently dominated th...
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AI Analysis
Visit the Polymarket event page to assess the depth of the extremely illiquid order book ($5.0 Volume), identify the current spread between 'Gaslit By My Husband' and 'Jurassic World,' and check for any arbitrage opportunities or mispricing due to the lack of active trading.
What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
Culture|$10.9k Vol|
time6 hrs 34 mins

What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Top Undervalued
+7.9¢
The Dinosaurs: Season 1(Yes)
+7.4¢
Virgin River: Season 7(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The sum of implied probabilities for all listed options is extremely low (around 26%), strongly sugg...
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Movers
2026-03-27 19:00 - 2026-03-30 12:00, ONE PIECE: Season 2's price plummeted from 28.5c to 7c, indicating its viewership likely fell well short of expectations, losing momentum for the global #2 spot. 2026-03-27 06:00 - 2026-03-30 12:00, Love is Blind: The Reunion's price crashed from 23c to 1.55c, likely because an initial viewership spike proved unsustainable. 2026-03-27 06:00 - 2026-03-30 12:00, Derrick Stroup: Nostalgic's price fell from 20.5c to 1.35c, indicating the stand-up special's initial buzz did not last. 2026-03-27 06:00 - 2026-03-30 12:00, The Dinosaurs: Season 1's price crashed from 21c to 9.35c, showing its popularity faded rapidly towards the end of the tracking week. 2026-03-26 21:20 - 2026-03-27 01:40, The TikTok Killer: Limited Series's price spiked from 2.8c to 21.5c, then fell back to 1.3c over the next few days, showing the documentary's viral moment was extremely brief. 2026-03-25 10:40 - 2026-03-25 23:40, Age of Attraction: Season 1's price plummeted from 39c to 5.5c, showing its performance during the critical tracking week fell far short of competing for global #2.
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Visit the Polymarket page for 'What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?', analyze the Order Book depth and volume for options like 'ONE PIECE: Season 2' or 'Virgin River: Season 7', and update the assessment of fair value and liquidity risks based on the latest Netflix viewership data.
Highest temperature in NYC on March 31?
Weather|$156.8k Vol|
time18 hrs 34 mins

Highest temperature in NYC on March 31?

Top Undervalued
+33¢
74°F or higher(No)
+15.5¢
72-73°F(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The latest meteorological models continue to show an abnormally warm air mass affecting NYC on March...
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Movers
March 29, 2026 - March 30, 2026: The price for '74°F or higher' dropped from 55.5c to 43.5c, while '72-73°F' rose from 19.5c to 32.0c. This was caused by near-term high-resolution weather data suggesting slightly more cloud cover, lowering extreme heat confidence and shifting funds to the 72-73°F bracket. March 27, 2026 - March 28, 2026: The price for '74°F or higher' dropped from 55.5c to 27.5c before rebounding to 41.5c, driven by model disagreements (GFS vs ECMWF) over potential low-level clouds limiting peak heating. March 27, 2026 10:15 - 13:30: Prices for all options below 65°F crashed by over 20c (e.g., '55°F or below' plummeted from 25.5c to 0.8c, '60-61°F' from 24c to 1.6c), while higher temperature options surged. This was caused by a sudden update in weather forecasts confirming a strong anomalous warming trend.
AI Analysis
How exactly does Wunderground finalize the daily high temperature for the LaGuardia Airport Station (KLGA), and at what specific time will the March 31 data be considered officially final to resolve this market?
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
43°F or below
YesNo
0.55¢
99.45¢
10¢
90¢
+9.5¢
0¢
44-45°F
YesNo
4.25¢
95.75¢
9¢
91¢
+4.7¢
0¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
Predicting the exact high temperature of a specific city on a single day is a niche, daily weather guessing game. It has low interest for the general public and usually only attracts prediction market players looking for short-term trading opportunities.
Movers
From 18:55 to 20:00 on March 29, 2026, the 'yes' price of the '43°F or below' option dropped from 25.5c to 10.65c, and the '56-57°F' option dropped from 17.5c to 5c. The reason is that as the date approaches, the forecast becomes more accurate, eliminating the possibilities of extremely cold or warm weather and concentrating probabilities into the middle temperature ranges.

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