Based on historical Wunderground data, what is the frequency distribution of the highest temperatures recorded at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on April 12 over the past few years?

AI-powered analysis for: Based on historical Wunderground data, what is the frequency distribution of the highest temperatures recorded at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on April 12 over the past few years?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

How predictable is the maximum temperature for Shanghai on April 12 based on current meteorological models, and how will the forecast certainty and time decay (Theta) impact the odds of each option as the resolution date approaches?

AI-powered analysis for: How predictable is the maximum temperature for Shanghai on April 12 based on current meteorological models, and how will the forecast certainty and time decay (Theta) impact the odds of each option as the resolution date approaches?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Given the extremely low trading volume of this temperature prediction market, how can I deploy a 'stink bid' strategy across different temperature options to catch potential liquidity gaps or panic selling when weather forecasts update?

AI-powered analysis for: Given the extremely low trading volume of this temperature prediction market, how can I deploy a 'stink bid' strategy across different temperature options to catch potential liquidity gaps or panic selling when weather forecasts update?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 12?

Weather|$13.8k Vol|

2 days 8 hrs

Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 12? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.09 22:00

Top Undervalued

+9.9¢

17°C or below(No)

+3.5¢

19°C(Yes)

+1.5¢

20°C(Yes)

Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 12? AI analysis: • +9.9¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

Based on the latest market movements and updated meteorological models, Shanghai is expected to expe...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

17°C or below

YesNo

44.9¢

55.1¢

35¢

65¢

0¢

+9.9¢

19°C

YesNo

16.5¢

83.5¢

20¢

80¢

+3.5¢

0¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Exotics

This is a relatively niche but standard weather prediction market. Unless planning a trip or specifically trading in this market, the general public does not typically guess the exact daily high temperature of a specific city on a future date.

Movers

April 8, 2026 - April 9, 2026: The price of the '17°C or below' option surged from around 6c to 34c, while '20°C' plummeted from 27.5c to 8.5c and '22°C' crashed from 24.5c to 4c. This was driven by a sharp downward revision in the weather forecast for April 12, as the market rapidly priced in an incoming cold front/precipitation event. Previously (before the last 3 days), market pricing was in a mild consolidation phase with no options experiencing a price swing of more than 10c.