Highest temperature in Singapore on April 2?
Weather|$10.1k Vol|
time1 days 8 hrs

Highest temperature in Singapore on April 2? - AI Found +15.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 03.31 21:42
Top Undervalued
+15.5¢
33°C(Yes)
+9¢
31°C(No)
+4.5¢
34°C(No)

Highest temperature in Singapore on April 2? AI analysis: • +15.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest meteorological forecasts and market pricing, Singapore Changi Airport is expecte...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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How many times will the US strike Somalia in March?
Politics|$790.2k Vol|
time2 days 20 hrs

How many times will the US strike Somalia in March?

Top Undervalued
+0.1¢
10-13(Yes)
+0.1¢
14-17(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The current date is April 1, 2026, meaning the tracking period of March has concluded. The '6-9' opt...
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Exotics
This is a niche geopolitical/military prediction market. While US military operations in Somalia are real and serious, predicting the exact number of strikes is a specialized topic for the general public, less common than elections or sports.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 2?
Weather|$37.6k Vol|
time1 days 8 hrs

Highest temperature in Chicago on April 2?

Top Undervalued
+2.6¢
42-43°F(No)
+2.3¢
48°F or higher(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With only two days until resolution, weather forecasting models have reached a strong consensus indi...
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Exotics
While weather derivatives exist in professional finance, predicting the exact daily high temperature for a specific city on a specific day is somewhat niche and novel for average prediction market participants.
Movers
March 29, 2026 - March 31, 2026: The price of '48°F or higher' continued to surge from 54c to 97c, while mid-to-low temperature options (e.g., 40-43°F) collapsed to near zero. This was driven by weather models fully confirming a strong warm advection that eliminates the possibility of sustained cold. March 29, 2026: The price of '48°F or higher' surged from 26c to 54c, driven by speculative buying as some outlier weather models suggested potential warm advection if a weather front accelerates eastward.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 1?
Weather|$43.9k Vol|
time8 hrs 30 mins

Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 1?

Top Undervalued
+16¢
22°C(Yes)
+15.5¢
24°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As the resolution date approaches (March 31), weather forecasts have highly converged. The highest t...
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Exotics
Predicting the exact highest temperature of a specific city on a specific future date is a niche topic in prediction markets. Unless one is a weather enthusiast or local resident, ordinary people rarely ponder such micro-level questions, though it is not as bizarre as theological or fantasy-based markets.
Movers
March 29, 2026 - March 30, 2026, the price of '24°C' dropped from 29.5c to 14.5c before rebounding to 31.5c, and '22°C' dropped from 33.5c to 19c. This was caused by intraday updates from short-term weather models (like GFS/ECMWF) shifting the expected peak temperature slightly between 22°C, 23°C, and 24°C, leading to sharp probability transfers among the top options. March 29, 2026, the price of '18°C or below' plummeted from 17c to 3c, and '20°C' dropped from 17c to 6.5c. This was driven by updated and more accurate short-term weather forecasts confidently predicting highs above 22°C for April 1, eliminating the likelihood of unseasonably cold temperatures.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 1?
Weather|$22.9k Vol|
time8 hrs 30 mins

Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 1?

Top Undervalued
+11.5¢
12°C or higher(No)
+7.5¢
11°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecasts, the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 1, 2026, is expect...
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Movers
March 30, 2026 01:40-04:55, the price of '12°C or higher' surged from 65c to 79.5c as weather forecasts further confirmed a warming trend for the day, strengthening market expectations for higher temperatures. March 29, 2026 19:10-20:15, the price of '12°C or higher' surged from 27.5c to 39c due to recent weather forecasts adjusting the expected maximum temperature upwards. March 29, 2026 19:10-20:15, the price of '7°C' dropped from 16c to 10c as the rising forecast temperatures significantly reduced the likelihood of lower temperature outcomes.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 2?
Weather|$28.2k Vol|
time1 days 8 hrs

Highest temperature in Seattle on April 2?

Top Undervalued
+10¢
52-53°F(Yes)
+9.5¢
56-57°F(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With only about 2 days left until April 2, current weather forecast models and seasonal trends indic...
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Movers
March 29, 2026 - March 31, 2026, the price of the '50-51°F' option fell from 31.5c to 15.5c, as weather forecast models shifted towards slightly higher temperature expectations as the date approaches. March 29, 2026 - March 31, 2026, the price of the '54-55°F' option climbed from 15c to 30c, due to updated weather forecasts indicating a significantly higher likelihood of temperatures reaching 54-55°F on April 2.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
33°C
YesNo
19.5¢
80.5¢
35¢
65¢
+15.5¢
31°C
YesNo
27¢
73¢
18¢
82¢
+9¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
While data-driven weather markets are a known niche, betting on the precise high temperature of a specific city on a specific date (rounded to the nearest degree) remains a relatively novel and exotic proposition for general retail traders, falling outside typical daily discourse.
Movers
Between Mar 29 and Mar 31, 2026, the Yes price for 33°C surged from 16.5c to 41c before stabilizing around 35c, as short-term high-resolution weather models slightly adjusted the expected daily high upwards. Between Mar 29 and Mar 31, 2026, the Yes prices for 30°C and 29°C plummeted from 16c to under 3c, indicating the market's complete loss of confidence in cooler weather scenarios. Between Mar 29 and Mar 30, 2026, the Yes price for 32°C surged from 32c to 53c before settling at 40c, as short-term forecasts concentrated expectations on the typical 32-degree range. Between Mar 29 and Mar 30, 2026, the Yes price for 35°C or higher plummeted from 25.5c to 2.5c. As the date approaches, forecasts of rain and clouds ruled out extreme heat. Between Mar 29 and Mar 30, 2026, the Yes price for 34°C plummeted from 20.5c to 9.5c, also due to the fading probability of extreme high temperatures.

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