All
Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
35°C
YesNo
32°C
YesNo
33°C
YesNo
31°C
YesNo
36°C or higher
YesNo
30°C
YesNo
34°C
YesNo
27°C
YesNo
29°C
YesNo
28°C
YesNo
26°C or below
YesNo
AI Insights:
03.19 10:44 UpdatedFair Value Reasoning:
The official Meteorological Service Singapore (NEA) 4-day outlook explicitly forecasts 'Fair and war...
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Exotics
This is a typical weather prediction market. While less mainstream than sports or politics for the general public, it is a standard niche category within prediction markets. It focuses on a specific physical parameter (temperature). It is not absurdly exotic, but might seem obscure to those outside the specific geographic region.
Divergence
Significant divergence exists: The official local authority (NEA) forecasts 35°C, while the prediction market favors '36°C or higher' (25.5c) and generic weather apps show 31-33°C. The market appears to be betting on extreme heat while neglecting the specific official forecast of 35°C, which is currently undervalued.
